Coca Cola Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KO Stock | ARS 14,225 49.90 0.35% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 14,382 with a mean absolute deviation of 179.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,960. Coca Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coca Cola stock prices and determine the direction of The Coca Cola's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coca Cola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Coca |
Coca Cola Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Coca Cola on the next trading day is expected to be 14,382 with a mean absolute deviation of 179.68, mean absolute percentage error of 54,530, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,960.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern
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Coca Cola Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14,381 and 14,383, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 129.017 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 179.6758 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10960.2246 |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola
For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.Coca Cola Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coca Cola Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca Cola's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca Cola's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Coca Cola Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Coca Cola entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0175 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14200.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14208.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 250.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (49.90) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 22.33 |
Coca Cola Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9866 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock
When determining whether Coca Cola offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coca Cola's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Coca Cola Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Coca Cola Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.