KGL Resources Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| KOGMF Stock | USD 0.05 0.00 0.00% |
KGL Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of KGL Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of KGL Resources' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KGL Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KGL Resources from the perspective of KGL Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KGL Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000049 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. KGL Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KGL |
KGL Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KGL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KGL using various technical indicators. When you analyze KGL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KGL Resources Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KGL Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000049, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000014, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KGL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KGL Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KGL Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KGL Resources | KGL Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
KGL Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KGL Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KGL Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 0.74, respectively. We have considered KGL Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KGL Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KGL Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.001 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0029 |
Predictive Modules for KGL Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KGL Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KGL Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KGL Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KGL Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of KGL Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KGL Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KGL Resources' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KGL Resources' historical news coverage. KGL Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.74, respectively. We have considered KGL Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KGL Resources is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KGL Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
KGL Resources Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KGL Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KGL Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KGL Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 |
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KGL Resources Hype Timeline
KGL Resources is now traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KGL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on KGL Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. KGL Resources had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 16th of March 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KGL Resources to cross-verify your projections.KGL Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KGL Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KGL Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how KGL Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KGL Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRCTF | Traction Uranium Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.04 | 0.07 | 15.79 | (13.04) | 39.23 | |
| SCLTF | Searchlight Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.36 | 0.08 | 15.33 | (11.68) | 42.33 | |
| GCRIF | Rogue Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.34 | |
| VRRCF | VR Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 29.81 | 0.28 | 900.00 | (90.29) | 1,208 | |
| SPMTF | Spearmint Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 31.48 | 0.30 | 967.96 | (89.92) | 1,252 | |
| MEEEF | Metal Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.26 | 0.17 | 13.89 | (10.00) | 36.35 | |
| JXMNF | Jaxon Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NBTRF | Nobel Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 54.08 | 0.00 | 638.15 | |
| WDGNF | Widgie Nickel Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 880.95 | |
| NSHRF | Northern Shield Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.23 | 0.12 | 64.56 | (33.44) | 220.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for KGL Resources
For every potential investor in KGL, whether a beginner or expert, KGL Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KGL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KGL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KGL Resources' price trends.KGL Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KGL Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KGL Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KGL Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KGL Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KGL Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KGL Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KGL Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify KGL Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KGL Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of KGL Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KGL Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kgl pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1636 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6748 | |||
| Variance | 0.4553 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KGL Resources
The number of cover stories for KGL Resources depends on current market conditions and KGL Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KGL Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KGL Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KGL Resources Short Properties
KGL Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when KGL Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KGL Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KGL Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KGL Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 620.2 K | |
| Shares Float | 7.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in KGL Pink Sheet
KGL Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether KGL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KGL with respect to the benefits of owning KGL Resources security.