Kokoh Inti Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Kokoh Inti is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kokoh Inti Arebama value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kokoh Inti Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kokoh Inti Arebama on the next trading day is expected to be 69.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.91.

Kokoh Inti Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kokoh Inti Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kokoh Inti stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kokoh Inti stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kokoh Inti Arebama. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kokoh Inti. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kokoh Inti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kokoh Inti Arebama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 68.87 70.00 71.13 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 69.62 70.75 71.88 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kokoh Inti

For every potential investor in Kokoh, whether a beginner or expert, Kokoh Inti's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kokoh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kokoh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kokoh Inti's price trends.

Kokoh Inti Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Kokoh Inti Arebama Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kokoh Inti's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kokoh Inti's current price.

Kokoh Inti Market Strength Events

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