Kooth Plc Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KOO Stock   115.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kooth plc on the next trading day is expected to be 114.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.70. Kooth Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kooth Plc stock prices and determine the direction of Kooth plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kooth Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Kooth Plc's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kooth Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kooth Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kooth Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kooth plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kooth Plc's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
10.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0827
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1084
Wall Street Target Price
353
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Kooth Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kooth plc from the perspective of Kooth Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kooth plc on the next trading day is expected to be 114.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.70.

Kooth Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 115.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kooth Plc to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Kooth Plc's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 16 M, whereas Property Plant And Equipment Net is forecasted to decline to about 229 K.

Kooth Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kooth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kooth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kooth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kooth Plc is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kooth plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kooth Plc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kooth plc on the next trading day is expected to be 114.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 2.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kooth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kooth Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kooth Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kooth PlcKooth Plc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kooth Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kooth Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kooth Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.07 and 116.05, respectively. We have considered Kooth Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
115.00
113.07
Downside
114.56
Expected Value
116.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kooth Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kooth Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.1432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2901
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0101
SAESum of the absolute errors78.6953
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kooth plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kooth Plc. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kooth Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kooth plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.51115.00116.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.10102.58126.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
112.32119.15125.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.040.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kooth Plc

For every potential investor in Kooth, whether a beginner or expert, Kooth Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kooth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kooth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kooth Plc's price trends.

Kooth Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kooth Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kooth Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kooth Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kooth plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kooth Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kooth Plc's current price.

Kooth Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kooth Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kooth Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kooth Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kooth plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kooth Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kooth Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kooth Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kooth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kooth Stock

Kooth Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kooth Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kooth with respect to the benefits of owning Kooth Plc security.