Kun Peng OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KPEA Stock | 0.06 0 6.31% |
Kun OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kun Peng stock prices and determine the direction of Kun Peng International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kun Peng's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Kun Peng's otc stock price is about 61. This indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kun, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kun Peng based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Kun Peng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kun Peng International from the perspective of Kun Peng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kun Peng International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Kun Peng after-hype prediction price | USD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kun |
Kun Peng Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kun Peng Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kun Peng International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kun OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kun Peng's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kun Peng OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kun Peng | Kun Peng Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kun Peng Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kun Peng's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kun Peng's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 10.84, respectively. We have considered Kun Peng's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kun Peng otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kun Peng otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.4685 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0014 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0314 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0859 |
Predictive Modules for Kun Peng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kun Peng International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kun Peng's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kun Peng After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kun Peng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kun Peng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Kun Peng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kun Peng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kun Peng's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kun Peng's historical news coverage. Kun Peng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 10.83, respectively. We have considered Kun Peng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kun Peng is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kun Peng International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kun Peng OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Kun Peng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kun Peng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kun Peng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 10.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.06 | 0.06 | 6.25 |
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Kun Peng Hype Timeline
Kun Peng International is now traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kun is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.25%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Kun Peng is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2017. Kun Peng International had 10:1 split on the 18th of October 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kun Peng to cross-verify your projections.Kun Peng Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kun Peng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kun Peng's future price movements. Getting to know how Kun Peng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kun Peng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVNZF | Comvita Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 309.64 | |
| CELV | Preferred Commerce | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.21 | 0.01 | 36.36 | (26.67) | 97.88 | |
| BFNH | BioForce Nanosciences Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.04 | (12.50) | 26.54 | |
| SWSSF | Swiss Water Decaffeinated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.87 | |
| ZHYBF | Zhong Yuan Bio Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OPTHF | Optimi Health Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.33 | (8.00) | 20.23 | |
| IVFH | Innovative Food Hldg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.41 | 0.02 | 7.89 | (7.14) | 25.18 | |
| ELAMF | Elamex SA de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | |
| AASZF | Atlantic Sapphire ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.11 | (7.89) | 26.79 | |
| GARPY | Golden Agri Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.07 | 0.00 | 10.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kun Peng
For every potential investor in Kun, whether a beginner or expert, Kun Peng's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kun OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kun Peng's price trends.Kun Peng Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kun Peng otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kun Peng could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kun Peng by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kun Peng Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kun Peng otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kun Peng shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kun Peng otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kun Peng International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kun Peng Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kun Peng's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kun Peng's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kun otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.47 | |||
| Variance | 109.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 383.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 31.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (30.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kun Peng
The number of cover stories for Kun Peng depends on current market conditions and Kun Peng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kun Peng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kun Peng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kun Peng Short Properties
Kun Peng's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kun Peng's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kun Peng International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kun Peng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kun Peng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 400 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267.1 K |
Other Information on Investing in Kun OTC Stock
Kun Peng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kun OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kun with respect to the benefits of owning Kun Peng security.