KeppelLimited Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| KPELY Stock | USD 17.11 0.18 1.06% |
KeppelLimited Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of KeppelLimited's pink sheet price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling KeppelLimited, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KeppelLimited hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Keppel Limited from the perspective of KeppelLimited response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Keppel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.83. KeppelLimited after-hype prediction price | USD 17.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KeppelLimited |
KeppelLimited Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KeppelLimited price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KeppelLimited using various technical indicators. When you analyze KeppelLimited charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KeppelLimited Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Keppel Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KeppelLimited Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KeppelLimited's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KeppelLimited Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KeppelLimited | KeppelLimited Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KeppelLimited Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KeppelLimited's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KeppelLimited's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.14 and 18.30, respectively. We have considered KeppelLimited's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KeppelLimited pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KeppelLimited pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6725 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2432 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.835 |
Predictive Modules for KeppelLimited
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keppel Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KeppelLimited After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KeppelLimited at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KeppelLimited or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of KeppelLimited, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KeppelLimited Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KeppelLimited's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KeppelLimited's historical news coverage. KeppelLimited's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.54 and 18.68, respectively. We have considered KeppelLimited's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KeppelLimited is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Keppel Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
KeppelLimited Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KeppelLimited is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KeppelLimited backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KeppelLimited, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.11 | 17.11 | 0.00 |
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KeppelLimited Hype Timeline
Keppel Limited is now traded for 17.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KeppelLimited is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on KeppelLimited is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.11. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Keppel Limited has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2023. The firm had 11:10 split on the 26th of April 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KeppelLimited to cross-verify your projections.KeppelLimited Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KeppelLimited's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KeppelLimited's future price movements. Getting to know how KeppelLimited's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KeppelLimited may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOMLF | SECOM LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.73 | |
| GPOVF | Grupo Carso SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.90 | |
| BVRDF | Bureau Veritas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.98 | |
| BVVBY | Bureau Veritas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | (0.05) | 1.79 | (1.68) | 5.94 | |
| DNPCF | Dai Nippon Printing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| WRTBF | Wrtsil Oyj Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.28 | 0.00 | 7.91 | |
| KWHIY | Kawasaki Heavy Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.75 | 0.09 | 5.01 | (4.75) | 15.44 | |
| KGSPY | Kingspan Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.01 | 3.15 | (3.28) | 10.13 | |
| SWRBF | Swire Pacific Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.23 | |
| NJDCY | Nidec | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.83 | 0.01 | 15.16 | (16.92) | 42.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for KeppelLimited
For every potential investor in KeppelLimited, whether a beginner or expert, KeppelLimited's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KeppelLimited Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KeppelLimited. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KeppelLimited's price trends.KeppelLimited Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KeppelLimited pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KeppelLimited could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KeppelLimited by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KeppelLimited Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KeppelLimited pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KeppelLimited shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KeppelLimited pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Keppel Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KeppelLimited Risk Indicators
The analysis of KeppelLimited's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KeppelLimited's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keppellimited pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KeppelLimited
The number of cover stories for KeppelLimited depends on current market conditions and KeppelLimited's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KeppelLimited is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KeppelLimited's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KeppelLimited Short Properties
KeppelLimited's future price predictability will typically decrease when KeppelLimited's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Keppel Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KeppelLimited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KeppelLimited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 915.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Additional Tools for KeppelLimited Pink Sheet Analysis
When running KeppelLimited's price analysis, check to measure KeppelLimited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KeppelLimited is operating at the current time. Most of KeppelLimited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KeppelLimited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KeppelLimited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KeppelLimited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.