KKR Co Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

KR51 Stock  EUR 152.98  0.14  0.09%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of KKR Co LP on the next trading day is expected to be 158.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.44. KKR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KKR Co's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
KKR Co polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for KKR Co LP as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

KKR Co Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of KKR Co LP on the next trading day is expected to be 158.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 9.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KKR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KKR Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KKR Co Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KKR CoKKR Co Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

KKR Co Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KKR Co's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KKR Co's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 156.72 and 160.72, respectively. We have considered KKR Co's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
152.98
156.72
Downside
158.72
Expected Value
160.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KKR Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KKR Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3757
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3679
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors144.4431
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the KKR Co historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for KKR Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KKR Co LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.98152.98154.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
137.68166.30168.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
144.85150.65156.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KKR Co

For every potential investor in KKR, whether a beginner or expert, KKR Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KKR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KKR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KKR Co's price trends.

KKR Co Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KKR Co stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KKR Co could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KKR Co by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KKR Co LP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KKR Co's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KKR Co's current price.

KKR Co Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KKR Co stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KKR Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KKR Co stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KKR Co LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KKR Co Risk Indicators

The analysis of KKR Co's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KKR Co's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kkr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in KKR Stock

When determining whether KKR Co LP is a strong investment it is important to analyze KKR Co's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KKR Co's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KKR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Co to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KKR Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KKR Co is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KKR Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.