36Kr Holdings Stock Forward View
| KRKR Stock | USD 4.25 0.37 8.01% |
36Kr Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although 36Kr Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of 36Kr Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of 36Kr Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of 36Kr Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using 36Kr Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 36Kr Holdings from the perspective of 36Kr Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 36Kr Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.53. 36Kr Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 4.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 36Kr Holdings to cross-verify your projections. 36Kr Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 36Kr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 36Kr using various technical indicators. When you analyze 36Kr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
36Kr Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the 36Kr Holdings' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2018-03-31 | Previous Quarter 36.8 M | Current Value 41.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 65.5 M |
36Kr Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 36Kr Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 36Kr Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 36Kr Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
36Kr Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 36Kr Holdings | 36Kr Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
36Kr Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 36Kr Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 36Kr Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.57, respectively. We have considered 36Kr Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 36Kr Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 36Kr Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0403 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.5337 |
Predictive Modules for 36Kr Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 36Kr Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.36Kr Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 36Kr Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 36Kr Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 36Kr Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
36Kr Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 36Kr Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 36Kr Holdings' historical news coverage. 36Kr Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 9.68, respectively. We have considered 36Kr Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36Kr Holdings is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 36Kr Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
36Kr Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 36Kr Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 36Kr Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 36Kr Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 5.45 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.25 | 4.23 | 0.47 |
|
36Kr Holdings Hype Timeline
36Kr Holdings is now traded for 4.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. 36Kr is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on 36Kr Holdings is about 20437.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.24. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. 36Kr Holdings recorded a loss per share of 3.26. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 3rd of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 36Kr Holdings to cross-verify your projections.36Kr Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 36Kr Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 36Kr Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how 36Kr Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 36Kr Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBGI | Beasley Broadcast Group | (0.11) | 8 per month | 8.71 | 0.07 | 10.85 | (16.18) | 359.13 | |
| XHLD | TEN Holdings Common | (0.01) | 6 per month | 9.91 | 0.03 | 12.30 | (18.75) | 204.72 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | 0.29 | 4 per month | 9.41 | 0.03 | 9.71 | (17.06) | 228.24 | |
| LCFY | Locafy | (0.26) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.00 | (8.93) | 61.19 | |
| ONFO | Onfolio Holdings | 0.76 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.61 | (8.11) | 34.12 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 11.11 | (17.27) | 95.20 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.90 | (18.03) | 90.82 | |
| TNMG | TNL Mediagene Ordinary | (0.75) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 20.60 | (15.98) | 81.66 | |
| LDWY | Lendway | 0.02 | 9 per month | 5.65 | 0.06 | 13.35 | (11.89) | 40.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for 36Kr Holdings
For every potential investor in 36Kr, whether a beginner or expert, 36Kr Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 36Kr Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 36Kr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 36Kr Holdings' price trends.36Kr Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 36Kr Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 36Kr Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 36Kr Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
36Kr Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 36Kr Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 36Kr Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 36Kr Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 36Kr Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1098.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.42 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.44) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) |
36Kr Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of 36Kr Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 36Kr Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 36kr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.7 | |||
| Variance | 32.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 36Kr Holdings
The number of cover stories for 36Kr Holdings depends on current market conditions and 36Kr Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 36Kr Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 36Kr Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
36Kr Holdings Short Properties
36Kr Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when 36Kr Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 36Kr Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 36Kr Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 36Kr Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.7 M |
Additional Tools for 36Kr Stock Analysis
When running 36Kr Holdings' price analysis, check to measure 36Kr Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 36Kr Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of 36Kr Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 36Kr Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 36Kr Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 36Kr Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.