Karoon Energy Pink Sheet Forward View

KRNGF Stock  USD 1.20  0.01  0.84%   
Karoon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Karoon Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Karoon Energy's share price is above 70 as of 31st of January 2026. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Karoon, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 72

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Karoon Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Karoon Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Karoon Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Karoon Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Karoon Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Karoon Energy from the perspective of Karoon Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Karoon Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.28.

Karoon Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Karoon Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Karoon Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Karoon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Karoon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Karoon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Karoon Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Karoon Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Karoon Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Karoon Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Karoon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Karoon Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Karoon Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Karoon Energy  Karoon Energy Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Karoon Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Karoon Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Karoon Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.56, respectively. We have considered Karoon Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.20
1.27
Expected Value
4.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Karoon Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Karoon Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2244
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0207
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors1.2822
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Karoon Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Karoon Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Karoon Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karoon Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.204.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.134.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Karoon Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Karoon Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Karoon Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Karoon Energy.

Karoon Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Karoon Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Karoon Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Karoon Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Karoon Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Karoon Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Karoon Energy's historical news coverage. Karoon Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 4.49, respectively. We have considered Karoon Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.20
1.20
After-hype Price
4.49
Upside
Karoon Energy is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Karoon Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Karoon Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Karoon Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Karoon Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Karoon Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
3.29
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.20
1.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Karoon Energy Hype Timeline

Karoon Energy is now traded for 1.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Karoon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Karoon Energy is about 25307.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Karoon Energy was now reported as 0.5. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 157.5. Karoon Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1105:1016 split on the 25th of October 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Karoon Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Karoon Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Karoon Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Karoon Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Karoon Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Karoon Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KWTEFKiwetinohk Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.93  0.01  1.92 (0.80) 9.41 
BWEFFBW Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  2.63  0.00  21.72 
SOGFFStrategic Oil and 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AOIFFAfrica Oil Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.56  0.07  3.28 (3.08) 8.84 
CRLFFCardinal Energy(0.13)2 per month 1.81  0.12  3.49 (2.90) 8.96 
KELTFKelt Exploration 0.00 0 per month 2.29  0.13  7.50 (4.55) 18.62 
DALXFSpartan Delta Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.01  0.28  4.44 (3.58) 14.05 
COPJFCooper Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  14,647 
RCKHFRockhopper Exploration plc 0.00 0 per month 5.45  0.04  11.24 (11.21) 31.47 
SHASFShaMaran Petroleum Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.74  0.05  5.88 (5.56) 23.61 

Other Forecasting Options for Karoon Energy

For every potential investor in Karoon, whether a beginner or expert, Karoon Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Karoon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Karoon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Karoon Energy's price trends.

Karoon Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Karoon Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Karoon Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Karoon Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Karoon Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Karoon Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Karoon Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Karoon Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Karoon Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Karoon Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Karoon Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Karoon Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting karoon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Karoon Energy

The number of cover stories for Karoon Energy depends on current market conditions and Karoon Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Karoon Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Karoon Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Karoon Pink Sheet

Karoon Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Karoon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Karoon with respect to the benefits of owning Karoon Energy security.