Kuaishou Technology Pink Sheet Forward View
| KSHTY Stock | USD 2.40 0.25 11.63% |
Kuaishou Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Kuaishou Technology's pink sheet price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kuaishou, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kuaishou Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kuaishou Technology from the perspective of Kuaishou Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kuaishou Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88. Kuaishou Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 2.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kuaishou |
Kuaishou Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kuaishou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kuaishou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kuaishou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kuaishou Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kuaishou Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kuaishou Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kuaishou Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kuaishou Technology Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kuaishou Technology | Kuaishou Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kuaishou Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kuaishou Technology's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kuaishou Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.85, respectively. We have considered Kuaishou Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kuaishou Technology pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kuaishou Technology pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1075 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0345 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.8832 |
Predictive Modules for Kuaishou Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuaishou Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kuaishou Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kuaishou Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kuaishou Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kuaishou Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kuaishou Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kuaishou Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kuaishou Technology's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kuaishou Technology's historical news coverage. Kuaishou Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 8.00, respectively. We have considered Kuaishou Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kuaishou Technology is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kuaishou Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kuaishou Technology Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kuaishou Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kuaishou Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kuaishou Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 5.49 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 15 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.40 | 2.51 | 4.58 |
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Kuaishou Technology Hype Timeline
Kuaishou Technology is now traded for 2.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. Kuaishou is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 4.58%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Kuaishou Technology is about 1193.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.17. Kuaishou Technology has accumulated about 32.56 B in cash with (5.52 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.52. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kuaishou Technology to cross-verify your projections.Kuaishou Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kuaishou Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kuaishou Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Kuaishou Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kuaishou Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAIDF | Baidu Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.29 | 0.10 | 8.84 | (7.91) | 21.37 | |
| SWZCF | Swisscom AG | 0.17 | 4 per month | 1.31 | 0.04 | 3.29 | (2.39) | 10.18 | |
| SCMWY | SwissCom AG | (6.08) | 7 per month | 0.81 | 0.09 | 2.67 | (1.59) | 5.49 | |
| TLGPY | Telstra Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.03 | 1.61 | (1.28) | 5.18 | |
| CLLNY | Cellnex Telecom SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.08 | (2.72) | 6.80 | |
| UNVGY | Universal Music Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.98 | (2.64) | 10.02 | |
| UMGNF | Universal Music Group | 1.42 | 37 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.73 | (3.18) | 9.89 | |
| FNCTF | Orange SA | 0.21 | 19 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 2.19 | (2.31) | 11.25 | |
| TTRAF | Telstra Limited | 0.17 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.56 | |
| YAHOF | Z Holdings | (0.49) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.59 | (7.38) | 29.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kuaishou Technology
For every potential investor in Kuaishou, whether a beginner or expert, Kuaishou Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kuaishou Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kuaishou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kuaishou Technology's price trends.Kuaishou Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kuaishou Technology pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kuaishou Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kuaishou Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kuaishou Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kuaishou Technology pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kuaishou Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kuaishou Technology pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kuaishou Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kuaishou Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kuaishou Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kuaishou Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kuaishou pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.33 | |||
| Variance | 28.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kuaishou Technology
The number of cover stories for Kuaishou Technology depends on current market conditions and Kuaishou Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kuaishou Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kuaishou Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Kuaishou Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Kuaishou Technology's price analysis, check to measure Kuaishou Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kuaishou Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Kuaishou Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kuaishou Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kuaishou Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kuaishou Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.