KraneShares Trust Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| KSPY Etf | 27.99 0.01 0.04% |
KraneShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of KraneShares Trust's etf price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling KraneShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares Trust from the perspective of KraneShares Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares Trust using KraneShares Trust's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares Trust's stock price.
KraneShares Trust Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
KraneShares Trust's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares Trust's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares Trust stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares Trust's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KraneShares Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 27.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12. KraneShares Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 27.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KraneShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KraneShares Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With KraneShares Trust trading at USD 27.99, that is roughly USD 0.009097 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KraneShares Trust's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KraneShares Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 KraneShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KraneShares Trust's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KraneShares Trust's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KraneShares Trust stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KraneShares Trust's open interest, investors have to compare it to KraneShares Trust's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KraneShares Trust is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KraneShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
KraneShares Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KraneShares Trust Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KraneShares Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 27.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KraneShares Trust Etf Forecast Pattern
KraneShares Trust Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KraneShares Trust's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KraneShares Trust's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.53 and 28.45, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Trust's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares Trust etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares Trust etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.5535 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0235 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1038 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.125 |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares Trust Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.46 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.99 | 27.99 | 0.00 |
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KraneShares Trust Hype Timeline
KraneShares Trust is now traded for 27.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. KraneShares is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 74.19%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares Trust is about 248.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out fundamental analysis of KraneShares Trust to check your projections.KraneShares Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INRO | BlackRock Industry Rotation | 0.23 | 3 per month | 0.89 | (0.02) | 1.10 | (1.28) | 3.92 | |
| PSCX | Pacer Swan SOS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.12 | (0.1) | 0.45 | (0.36) | 1.82 | |
| PPTY | US Diversified Real | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.40 | (1.04) | 3.40 | |
| QTAP | Innovator Growth 100 Accelerated | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.06 | (0.14) | 0.41 | (0.36) | 1.30 | |
| FMQQ | FMQQ The Next | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.53 | (1.71) | 4.06 | |
| DVLU | First Trust Dorsey | 0.68 | 4 per month | 0.93 | 0.03 | 1.65 | (1.55) | 4.71 | |
| LDEM | iShares ESG MSCI | 0.62 | 2 per month | 0.60 | 0.06 | 1.45 | (1.21) | 2.94 | |
| QDIV | Global X SP | 0.41 | 1 per month | 0.57 | (0) | 1.41 | (1.24) | 3.28 | |
| FRNW | Fidelity Covington Trust | (0.24) | 1 per month | 1.54 | 0.08 | 2.17 | (2.61) | 8.93 | |
| CBSE | Elevation Series Trust | 0.04 | 3 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 1.85 | (2.22) | 5.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares Trust
For every potential investor in KraneShares, whether a beginner or expert, KraneShares Trust's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KraneShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KraneShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KraneShares Trust's price trends.KraneShares Trust Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KraneShares Trust etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KraneShares Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KraneShares Trust by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KraneShares Trust Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KraneShares Trust etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KraneShares Trust shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KraneShares Trust etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KraneShares Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KraneShares Trust Risk Indicators
The analysis of KraneShares Trust's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KraneShares Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraneshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3033 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3413 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4413 | |||
| Variance | 0.1948 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2677 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1165 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares Trust
The number of cover stories for KraneShares Trust depends on current market conditions and KraneShares Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of KraneShares Trust to check your projections. For more information on how to buy KraneShares Etf please use our How to Invest in KraneShares Trust guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
The market value of KraneShares Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that KraneShares Trust's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KraneShares Trust represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, KraneShares Trust's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.