KT Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

KT Stock  USD 19.04  0.07  0.37%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KT Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 19.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.85. KT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of KT's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KT's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KT Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting KT's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.117
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5818
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.4231
Wall Street Target Price
22.3644
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
Using KT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KT Corporation from the perspective of KT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KT using KT's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KT's stock price.

KT Short Interest

An investor who is long KT may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about KT and may potentially protect profits, hedge KT with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
19.2809
Short Percent
0.0083
Short Ratio
2.06
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
18.5192

KT Corporation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to KT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in KT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding KT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around KT Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of KT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about KT.

KT Implied Volatility

    
  1.34  
KT's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KT Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KT's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KT stock will not fluctuate a lot when KT's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KT Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 19.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.85.

KT after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KT to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, KT's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 17.05 in 2026, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 1.06 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 381.6 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 334.3 B in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 KT Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KT's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KT's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KT stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KT's open interest, investors have to compare it to KT's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KT is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

KT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KT using various technical indicators. When you analyze KT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
KT simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for KT Corporation are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as KT Corporation prices get older.

KT Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KT Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 19.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KT Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KTKT Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

KT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.81 and 20.27, respectively. We have considered KT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.04
19.04
Expected Value
20.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1392
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0021
MADMean absolute deviation0.1779
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0096
SAESum of the absolute errors10.85
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting KT Corporation forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent KT observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for KT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KT Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8119.0320.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1420.5521.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.7718.5719.36
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.3522.3624.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KT

For every potential investor in KT, whether a beginner or expert, KT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KT's price trends.

KT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KT Corporation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KT's current price.

KT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KT Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KT Risk Indicators

The analysis of KT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for KT Stock Analysis

When running KT's price analysis, check to measure KT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KT is operating at the current time. Most of KT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.