Krungthai Card Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KTC-R Stock  THB 47.25  0.83  1.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Krungthai Card Public on the next trading day is expected to be 47.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.36. Krungthai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Krungthai Card stock prices and determine the direction of Krungthai Card Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Krungthai Card's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Krungthai Card price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Krungthai Card Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Krungthai Card Public on the next trading day is expected to be 47.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.01, mean absolute percentage error of 68.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Krungthai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Krungthai Card's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Krungthai Card Stock Forecast Pattern

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Krungthai Card Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Krungthai Card's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Krungthai Card's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.47 and 225.38, respectively. We have considered Krungthai Card's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
47.25
47.22
Expected Value
225.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Krungthai Card stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Krungthai Card stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.3383
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0059
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors183.3606
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Krungthai Card Public historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Krungthai Card

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krungthai Card Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.3647.254,772
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.7534.964,760
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.4146.8647.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Krungthai Card

For every potential investor in Krungthai, whether a beginner or expert, Krungthai Card's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Krungthai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Krungthai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Krungthai Card's price trends.

Krungthai Card Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Krungthai Card stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Krungthai Card could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Krungthai Card by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Krungthai Card Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Krungthai Card's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Krungthai Card's current price.

Krungthai Card Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Krungthai Card stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Krungthai Card shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Krungthai Card stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Krungthai Card Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Krungthai Card Risk Indicators

The analysis of Krungthai Card's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Krungthai Card's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting krungthai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Krungthai Stock

Krungthai Card financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krungthai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krungthai with respect to the benefits of owning Krungthai Card security.