KVH Industries Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KVHI Stock | USD 7.21 0.03 0.41% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KVH Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.16. KVH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KVH Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of KVH Industries' share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KVH Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.223 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.21 | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
Using KVH Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KVH Industries from the perspective of KVH Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KVH Industries using KVH Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KVH using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KVH Industries' stock price.
KVH Industries Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
KVH Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KVH Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KVH Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KVH Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when KVH Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KVH Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.16. KVH Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 7.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KVH Industries to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 KVH Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KVH Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KVH Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KVH Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KVH Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to KVH Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KVH Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KVH. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
KVH Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KVH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KVH using various technical indicators. When you analyze KVH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KVH Industries Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the KVH Industries' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1995-12-31 | Previous Quarter 55.9 M | Current Value 72.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 12 M |
KVH Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KVH Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KVH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KVH Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KVH Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KVH Industries | KVH Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KVH Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KVH Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KVH Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.38 and 10.59, respectively. We have considered KVH Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KVH Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KVH Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2525 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1993 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.1591 |
Predictive Modules for KVH Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KVH Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KVH Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KVH Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KVH Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KVH Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KVH Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KVH Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KVH Industries' historical news coverage. KVH Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.11 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered KVH Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KVH Industries is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KVH Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
KVH Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KVH Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KVH Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KVH Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.10 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 19 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.21 | 7.21 | 0.00 |
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KVH Industries Hype Timeline
KVH Industries is now traded for 7.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. KVH is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on KVH Industries is about 7948.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.19. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KVH Industries recorded a loss per share of 0.62. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KVH Industries to cross-verify your projections.KVH Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KVH Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KVH Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how KVH Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KVH Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZENA | ZenaTech | 0.06 | 11 per month | 4.71 | 0.0004 | 11.75 | (7.04) | 28.70 | |
| SILC | Silicom | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.00 | (3.78) | 18.46 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | 0.04 | 7 per month | 3.71 | 0.20 | 8.77 | (6.39) | 23.03 | |
| OSS | One Stop Systems | (0.06) | 18 per month | 4.12 | 0.18 | 22.03 | (7.44) | 38.58 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | (0.30) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 16.25 | (13.18) | 41.38 | |
| GNSS | Genasys | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.44 | (0.0009) | 3.56 | (4.62) | 16.06 | |
| ASYS | Amtech Systems | (0.06) | 16 per month | 2.22 | 0.29 | 6.84 | (3.43) | 23.86 | |
| MYPS | Playstudios | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.26 | (7.94) | 16.51 | |
| VHC | VirnetX Holding Corp | (0.06) | 18 per month | 5.67 | (0.01) | 8.47 | (7.56) | 25.58 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | (0.06) | 10 per month | 3.41 | 0.01 | 4.84 | (5.86) | 18.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for KVH Industries
For every potential investor in KVH, whether a beginner or expert, KVH Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KVH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KVH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KVH Industries' price trends.KVH Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KVH Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KVH Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KVH Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KVH Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KVH Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KVH Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KVH Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KVH Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KVH Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of KVH Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KVH Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kvh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Variance | 9.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KVH Industries
The number of cover stories for KVH Industries depends on current market conditions and KVH Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KVH Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KVH Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KVH Industries Short Properties
KVH Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when KVH Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KVH Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KVH Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KVH Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KVH Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in KVH Stock please use our How to Invest in KVH Industries guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KVH Industries. If investors know KVH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KVH Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.223 | Earnings Share (0.62) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
The market value of KVH Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KVH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KVH Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KVH Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KVH Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KVH Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KVH Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KVH Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KVH Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.