Kenvue Stock Forward View
| KVUE Stock | 17.20 0.14 0.81% |
Kenvue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kenvue stock prices and determine the direction of Kenvue Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kenvue's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kenvue's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kenvue, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.038 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2336 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0318 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1027 | Wall Street Target Price 19.3333 |
Using Kenvue hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kenvue Inc from the perspective of Kenvue response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kenvue using Kenvue's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kenvue using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kenvue's stock price.
Kenvue Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kenvue's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kenvue. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kenvue stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.4849 | Short Percent 0.0397 | Short Ratio 2.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 68.4 M | 50 Day MA 17.0518 |
Kenvue Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kenvue Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 17.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.83.Kenvue Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kenvue's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kenvue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kenvue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kenvue Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kenvue's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kenvue.
Kenvue Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Kenvue's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kenvue Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kenvue's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kenvue stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kenvue's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kenvue Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 17.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.83. Kenvue after-hype prediction price | USD 17.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kenvue to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kenvue contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kenvue Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Kenvue trading at USD 17.2, that is roughly USD 0.008815 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kenvue's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kenvue Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Kenvue Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kenvue's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kenvue's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kenvue stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kenvue's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kenvue's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kenvue is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kenvue. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kenvue Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kenvue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kenvue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kenvue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kenvue Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kenvue's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 279.1 M |
Kenvue Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kenvue Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 17.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kenvue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kenvue's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kenvue Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kenvue | Kenvue Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kenvue Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kenvue's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kenvue's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.23 and 18.53, respectively. We have considered Kenvue's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kenvue stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kenvue stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3175 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2104 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.8341 |
Predictive Modules for Kenvue
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kenvue Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kenvue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kenvue After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kenvue at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kenvue or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kenvue, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kenvue Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kenvue's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kenvue's historical news coverage. Kenvue's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.02 and 18.32, respectively. We have considered Kenvue's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kenvue is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kenvue Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kenvue Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kenvue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kenvue backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kenvue, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.15 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.20 | 17.17 | 0.17 |
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Kenvue Hype Timeline
Kenvue Inc is now traded for 17.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kenvue is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Kenvue is about 9583.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.20. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Kenvue was now reported as 5.55. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. Kenvue Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kenvue to cross-verify your projections.Kenvue Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kenvue's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kenvue's future price movements. Getting to know how Kenvue's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kenvue may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | (1.41) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.17 | (1.59) | 17.56 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 1.46 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.07 | 3.89 | (2.95) | 8.23 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | (0.82) | 11 per month | 1.81 | 0.03 | 2.94 | (3.26) | 7.68 | |
| K | Kellanova | (0.22) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.54 | (0.48) | 5.34 | |
| HSY | Hershey Co | 0.20 | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.04 | 2.37 | (2.35) | 6.22 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.63 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.04 | 2.33 | (1.92) | 10.66 | |
| JBS | JBS NV | 0.15 | 11 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 2.58 | (2.78) | 8.67 | |
| SYY | Sysco | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 2.68 | (2.10) | 11.45 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 1.97 | (1.93) | 13.48 | |
| KHC | Kraft Heinz Co | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.95 | (2.54) | 9.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kenvue
For every potential investor in Kenvue, whether a beginner or expert, Kenvue's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kenvue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kenvue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kenvue's price trends.Kenvue Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kenvue stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kenvue could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kenvue by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kenvue Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kenvue stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kenvue shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kenvue stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kenvue Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.38 |
Kenvue Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kenvue's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kenvue's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kenvue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kenvue
The number of cover stories for Kenvue depends on current market conditions and Kenvue's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kenvue is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kenvue's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kenvue Short Properties
Kenvue's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kenvue's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kenvue Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kenvue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kenvue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kenvue to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Will Personal Care Products sector continue expanding? Could Kenvue diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kenvue. Expected growth trajectory for Kenvue significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kenvue data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.038 | Dividend Share 0.823 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Kenvue Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Kenvue's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Kenvue's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Kenvue's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Kenvue's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kenvue represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Kenvue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.