KWG Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KWGPF Stock  USD 0.06  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KWG Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. KWG Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KWG Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for KWG Group - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When KWG Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in KWG Group price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of KWG Group Holdings.

KWG Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KWG Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KWG Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KWG Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KWG Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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KWG Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KWG Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KWG Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 0.06, respectively. We have considered KWG Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.06
0.06
Expected Value
0.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KWG Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KWG Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past KWG Group observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older KWG Group Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for KWG Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWG Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.060.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.050.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KWG Group

For every potential investor in KWG, whether a beginner or expert, KWG Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KWG Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KWG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KWG Group's price trends.

KWG Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KWG Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KWG Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KWG Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KWG Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KWG Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KWG Group's current price.

KWG Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KWG Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KWG Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KWG Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify KWG Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in KWG Pink Sheet

KWG Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether KWG Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KWG with respect to the benefits of owning KWG Group security.