Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| KYCCF Stock | USD 379.40 2.80 0.74% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Keyence on the next trading day is expected to be 379.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.31. Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Keyence's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Keyence's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Keyence hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Keyence from the perspective of Keyence response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Keyence on the next trading day is expected to be 379.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.31. Keyence after-hype prediction price | USD 379.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Keyence |
Keyence Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Keyence price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Keyence using various technical indicators. When you analyze Keyence charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Keyence Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Keyence on the next trading day is expected to be 379.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.01, mean absolute percentage error of 63.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keyence Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keyence's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Keyence Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Keyence | Keyence Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Keyence Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Keyence's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keyence's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 377.25 and 381.55, respectively. We have considered Keyence's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keyence pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keyence pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5854 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.6298 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0053 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 354.31 |
Predictive Modules for Keyence
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keyence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keyence's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keyence After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Keyence at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Keyence or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Keyence, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Keyence Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Keyence's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Keyence's historical news coverage. Keyence's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 377.25 and 381.55, respectively. We have considered Keyence's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Keyence is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Keyence is based on 3 months time horizon.
Keyence Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Keyence is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Keyence backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Keyence, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.15 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
379.40 | 379.40 | 0.00 |
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Keyence Hype Timeline
Keyence is now traded for 379.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Keyence is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Keyence is about 542.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 379.43. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.97. Keyence last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 19th of November 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keyence to cross-verify your projections.Keyence Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Keyence's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Keyence's future price movements. Getting to know how Keyence's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Keyence may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VEMLY | Venture Ltd | 0.72 | 7 per month | 1.70 | 0.1 | 4.82 | (2.23) | 17.43 | |
| NETTF | NetEase | (0.53) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.45 | (0.45) | 20.89 | |
| HNHPF | Hon Hai Precision | 1.23 | 44 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.91 | (4.45) | 10.39 | |
| TOELY | Tokyo Electron Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.11 | 4.89 | (4.78) | 14.26 | |
| NTDOF | Nintendo Co | 0.72 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.76 | (4.75) | 10.61 | |
| NTDOY | Nintendo Co ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.69 | (3.62) | 7.80 | |
| MRAAY | Murata Manufacturing | 0.91 | 7 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.79 | (2.35) | 14.11 | |
| HNHAF | Hon Hai Precision | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HXGBY | Hexagon AB ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.43 | (2.44) | 11.34 | |
| MRAAF | Murata Manufacturing Co | 0.91 | 4 per month | 5.62 | 0.05 | 13.18 | (8.52) | 34.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Keyence
For every potential investor in Keyence, whether a beginner or expert, Keyence's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keyence Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keyence. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keyence's price trends.Keyence Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keyence pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keyence could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keyence by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Keyence Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keyence pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keyence shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keyence pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Keyence entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Keyence Risk Indicators
The analysis of Keyence's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keyence's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keyence pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Keyence
The number of cover stories for Keyence depends on current market conditions and Keyence's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Keyence is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Keyence's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Keyence Pink Sheet
Keyence financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keyence Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keyence with respect to the benefits of owning Keyence security.