Ladenburg Aggressive Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LAGIX Fund | USD 20.17 0.07 0.35% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 20.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.18. Ladenburg Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ladenburg Aggressive's mutual fund price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ladenburg, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ladenburg Aggressive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ladenburg Aggressive Growth from the perspective of Ladenburg Aggressive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 20.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.18. Ladenburg Aggressive after-hype prediction price | USD 20.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ladenburg |
Ladenburg Aggressive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ladenburg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ladenburg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ladenburg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ladenburg Aggressive Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ladenburg Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 20.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ladenburg Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ladenburg Aggressive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ladenburg Aggressive Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ladenburg Aggressive | Ladenburg Aggressive Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ladenburg Aggressive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ladenburg Aggressive's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ladenburg Aggressive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.26 and 21.08, respectively. We have considered Ladenburg Aggressive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ladenburg Aggressive mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ladenburg Aggressive mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7674 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1197 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.18 |
Predictive Modules for Ladenburg Aggressive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ladenburg Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ladenburg Aggressive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ladenburg Aggressive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ladenburg Aggressive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Ladenburg Aggressive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ladenburg Aggressive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ladenburg Aggressive's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ladenburg Aggressive's historical news coverage. Ladenburg Aggressive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.26 and 21.08, respectively. We have considered Ladenburg Aggressive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ladenburg Aggressive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ladenburg Aggressive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ladenburg Aggressive Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Ladenburg Aggressive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ladenburg Aggressive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ladenburg Aggressive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.44 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.17 | 20.17 | 0.00 |
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Ladenburg Aggressive Hype Timeline
Ladenburg Aggressive is now traded for 20.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.89, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.44. Ladenburg is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 13.27%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ladenburg Aggressive is about 27.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.61. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ladenburg Aggressive to cross-verify your projections.Ladenburg Aggressive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ladenburg Aggressive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ladenburg Aggressive's future price movements. Getting to know how Ladenburg Aggressive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ladenburg Aggressive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FBJYGX | Fbjygx | (0.16) | 1 per month | 0.48 | 0.07 | 1.25 | (1.04) | 3.24 | |
| IAADX | Iaadx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.42 | (0.21) | 1.27 | |
| FMFTX | Materials Portfolio Fidelity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.07 | 1.91 | (1.56) | 3.95 | |
| REMVX | Rbc Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.21 | 0.15 | 1.23 | (0.82) | 2.95 | |
| OPTCX | Rbb Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.40 | (0.20) | 1.00 | |
| LMUSX | Qs Large Cap | 20.31 | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.02 | 1.26 | (1.35) | 4.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ladenburg Aggressive
For every potential investor in Ladenburg, whether a beginner or expert, Ladenburg Aggressive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ladenburg Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ladenburg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ladenburg Aggressive's price trends.Ladenburg Aggressive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ladenburg Aggressive mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ladenburg Aggressive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ladenburg Aggressive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ladenburg Aggressive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ladenburg Aggressive mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ladenburg Aggressive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ladenburg Aggressive mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ladenburg Aggressive Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.035 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.41 |
Ladenburg Aggressive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ladenburg Aggressive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ladenburg Aggressive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ladenburg mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6098 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5758 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8857 | |||
| Variance | 0.7845 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5999 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3315 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ladenburg Aggressive
The number of cover stories for Ladenburg Aggressive depends on current market conditions and Ladenburg Aggressive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ladenburg Aggressive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ladenburg Aggressive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Ladenburg Mutual Fund
Ladenburg Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ladenburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ladenburg with respect to the benefits of owning Ladenburg Aggressive security.
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