Lakshmi Precision Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LAKPRE Stock   5.40  0.29  5.10%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lakshmi Precision Screws on the next trading day is expected to be 4.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.67. Lakshmi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lakshmi Precision stock prices and determine the direction of Lakshmi Precision Screws's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lakshmi Precision's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Lakshmi Precision's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 4.1 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.3 B.
A naive forecasting model for Lakshmi Precision is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lakshmi Precision Screws value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lakshmi Precision Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lakshmi Precision Screws on the next trading day is expected to be 4.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lakshmi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lakshmi Precision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lakshmi Precision Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lakshmi Precision Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lakshmi Precision's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lakshmi Precision's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.94 and 7.74, respectively. We have considered Lakshmi Precision's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.40
4.84
Expected Value
7.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lakshmi Precision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lakshmi Precision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.884
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.172
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0275
SAESum of the absolute errors10.6658
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lakshmi Precision Screws. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lakshmi Precision. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lakshmi Precision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lakshmi Precision Screws. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.735.538.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.144.947.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lakshmi Precision

For every potential investor in Lakshmi, whether a beginner or expert, Lakshmi Precision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lakshmi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lakshmi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lakshmi Precision's price trends.

Lakshmi Precision Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lakshmi Precision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lakshmi Precision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lakshmi Precision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lakshmi Precision Screws Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lakshmi Precision's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lakshmi Precision's current price.

Lakshmi Precision Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lakshmi Precision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lakshmi Precision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lakshmi Precision stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lakshmi Precision Screws entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lakshmi Precision Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lakshmi Precision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lakshmi Precision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lakshmi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lakshmi Stock

Lakshmi Precision financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lakshmi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lakshmi with respect to the benefits of owning Lakshmi Precision security.