Gladstone Land600% Preferred Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LANDP Preferred Stock  USD 19.75  0.04  0.20%   
Gladstone Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Gladstone Land600%'s share price is below 20 . This indicates that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gladstone Land600%'s future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gladstone Land, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gladstone Land600% hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Land from the perspective of Gladstone Land600% response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 19.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32.

Gladstone Land600% after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gladstone Land600% to cross-verify your projections.

Gladstone Land600% Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Gladstone Land600% - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Gladstone Land600% prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Gladstone Land600% price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Gladstone Land600%.

Gladstone Land600% Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 19.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gladstone Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gladstone Land600%'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gladstone Land600% Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gladstone Land600%  Gladstone Land600% Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Gladstone Land600% Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gladstone Land600%'s Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gladstone Land600%'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.21 and 20.36, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Land600%'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.75
19.78
Expected Value
20.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gladstone Land600% preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gladstone Land600% preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0085
MADMean absolute deviation0.0901
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3182
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Gladstone Land600% observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Gladstone Land observations.

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land600%

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land600%. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gladstone Land600%'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1919.7720.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8319.4119.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.1418.9919.84
Details

Gladstone Land600% After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Land600% at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Land600% or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Land600%, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gladstone Land600% Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gladstone Land600%'s preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Land600%'s historical news coverage. Gladstone Land600%'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.19 and 20.35, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Land600%'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.75
19.77
After-hype Price
20.35
Upside
Gladstone Land600% is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Land600% is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gladstone Land600% Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Land600% is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Land600% backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Land600%, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
0.58
  0.02 
 0.00  
22 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 22 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.75
19.77
0.10 
187.10  
Notes

Gladstone Land600% Hype Timeline

Gladstone Land600% is now traded for 19.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gladstone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 187.1%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Land600% is about 1160.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.75. The company reported the revenue of 90.4 M. Net Income was 14.56 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.04 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gladstone Land600% to cross-verify your projections.

Gladstone Land600% Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Land600%'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Land600%'s future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Land600%'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Land600% may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Gladstone Land600%

For every potential investor in Gladstone, whether a beginner or expert, Gladstone Land600%'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gladstone Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gladstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gladstone Land600%'s price trends.

Gladstone Land600% Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gladstone Land600% preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gladstone Land600% could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gladstone Land600% by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gladstone Land600% Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gladstone Land600% preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gladstone Land600% shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gladstone Land600% preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gladstone Land entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gladstone Land600% Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gladstone Land600%'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gladstone Land600%'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gladstone preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Gladstone Land600%

The number of cover stories for Gladstone Land600% depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Land600%'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Land600% is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Land600%'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Gladstone Land600% Short Properties

Gladstone Land600%'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Land600%'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Land often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Land600%'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land600%'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.6 M

Additional Tools for Gladstone Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Gladstone Land600%'s price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Land600%'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Land600% is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Land600%'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Land600%'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Land600%'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Land600% to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.