Laureate Education Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LAUR Stock | USD 35.41 0.40 1.14% |
Laureate Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Laureate Education's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Laureate Education's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Laureate Education fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Laureate Education's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.79 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7618 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1234 | Wall Street Target Price 38.1667 |
Using Laureate Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Laureate Education from the perspective of Laureate Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Laureate Education using Laureate Education's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Laureate using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Laureate Education's stock price.
Laureate Education Short Interest
An investor who is long Laureate Education may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Laureate Education and may potentially protect profits, hedge Laureate Education with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.8007 | Short Percent 0.0175 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 33.5326 |
Laureate Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Laureate Education on the next trading day is expected to be 36.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.43.Laureate Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Laureate Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Laureate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Laureate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Laureate Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Laureate Education's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Laureate Education.
Laureate Education Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Laureate Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Laureate Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Laureate Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Laureate Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when Laureate Education's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Laureate Education on the next trading day is expected to be 36.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.43. Laureate Education after-hype prediction price | USD 35.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laureate Education to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Laureate contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Laureate Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Laureate Education trading at USD 35.41, that is roughly USD 0.0255 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Laureate Education's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Laureate Education options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Laureate Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Laureate Education's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Laureate Education's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Laureate Education stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Laureate Education's open interest, investors have to compare it to Laureate Education's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Laureate Education is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Laureate. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Laureate Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Laureate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Laureate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Laureate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Laureate Education Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Laureate Education on the next trading day is expected to be 36.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Laureate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Laureate Education's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Laureate Education Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Laureate Education | Laureate Education Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Laureate Education Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Laureate Education's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Laureate Education's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.50 and 37.75, respectively. We have considered Laureate Education's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Laureate Education stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Laureate Education stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7239 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7811 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.4302 |
Predictive Modules for Laureate Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laureate Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Laureate Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Laureate Education After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Laureate Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Laureate Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Laureate Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Laureate Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Laureate Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Laureate Education's historical news coverage. Laureate Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.05 and 37.25, respectively. We have considered Laureate Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Laureate Education is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Laureate Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Laureate Education Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Laureate Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Laureate Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Laureate Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.62 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.41 | 35.65 | 0.68 |
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Laureate Education Hype Timeline
Laureate Education is now traded for 35.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. Laureate is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 147.27%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Laureate Education is about 90.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.57 B. Net Income was 296.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Laureate Education to cross-verify your projections.Laureate Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Laureate Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Laureate Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Laureate Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Laureate Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GHC | Graham Holdings Co | (8.65) | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.02 | 2.72 | (2.26) | 7.85 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | (14.01) | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.04 | 3.21 | (3.92) | 12.74 | |
| BRBR | Bellring Brands LLC | 4.19 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.42 | (7.72) | 26.39 | |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education | (2.69) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.78 | (3.09) | 10.09 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 6.11 | 9 per month | 2.13 | 0.01 | 2.32 | (3.50) | 14.59 | |
| PRDO | Perdoceo Education Corp | 1.79 | 7 per month | 1.64 | (0.03) | 2.71 | (2.10) | 11.37 | |
| MZTI | The Marzetti | 0.73 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.98 | (2.25) | 10.08 | |
| CALM | Cal Maine Foods | 1.81 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.60 | (2.72) | 7.44 | |
| AGRO | Adecoagro SA | 0.12 | 10 per month | 2.43 | 0.06 | 4.63 | (3.39) | 11.00 | |
| LRN | Stride Inc | (7.25) | 10 per month | 1.98 | 0.1 | 2.99 | (2.12) | 15.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Laureate Education
For every potential investor in Laureate, whether a beginner or expert, Laureate Education's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Laureate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Laureate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Laureate Education's price trends.Laureate Education Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Laureate Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Laureate Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Laureate Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Laureate Education Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Laureate Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Laureate Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Laureate Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Laureate Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9662.75 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7843 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.4 |
Laureate Education Risk Indicators
The analysis of Laureate Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Laureate Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting laureate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Laureate Education
The number of cover stories for Laureate Education depends on current market conditions and Laureate Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Laureate Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Laureate Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Laureate Education Short Properties
Laureate Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Laureate Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Laureate Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Laureate Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laureate Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.3 M |
Additional Tools for Laureate Stock Analysis
When running Laureate Education's price analysis, check to measure Laureate Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Laureate Education is operating at the current time. Most of Laureate Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Laureate Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Laureate Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Laureate Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.