LB Foster Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LB1A Stock | EUR 26.40 0.60 2.33% |
LB1A Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LB Foster's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of LB Foster's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Wall Street Target Price 21.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Using LB Foster hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LB Foster from the perspective of LB Foster response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LB Foster on the next trading day is expected to be 26.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.77. LB Foster after-hype prediction price | EUR 26.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LB1A |
LB Foster Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LB1A price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LB1A using various technical indicators. When you analyze LB1A charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LB Foster Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LB Foster on the next trading day is expected to be 26.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LB1A Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LB Foster's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LB Foster Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LB Foster | LB Foster Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LB Foster Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LB Foster's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LB Foster's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.29 and 28.67, respectively. We have considered LB Foster's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LB Foster stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LB Foster stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0936 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4029 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.7733 |
Predictive Modules for LB Foster
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LB Foster. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LB Foster After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LB Foster at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LB Foster or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LB Foster, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LB Foster Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LB Foster's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LB Foster's historical news coverage. LB Foster's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.99 and 28.37, respectively. We have considered LB Foster's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LB Foster is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LB Foster is based on 3 months time horizon.
LB Foster Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LB Foster is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LB Foster backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LB Foster, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.19 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.40 | 26.18 | 0.83 |
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LB Foster Hype Timeline
LB Foster is now traded for 26.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. LB1A is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on LB Foster is about 56153.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.40. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LB Foster has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of September 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LB Foster to cross-verify your projections.LB Foster Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LB Foster's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LB Foster's future price movements. Getting to know how LB Foster's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LB Foster may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HX1A | HEXINDO ADIPERKASA | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | (4.55) | 15.29 | |
| 3IB | PT Indo Tambangraya | (0.12) | 2 per month | 2.57 | (0.02) | 7.27 | (6.78) | 18.02 | |
| OAIA | RAMAYANA LESTARI | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| T9Q | TOTAL BANGUN PERSAD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.03 | 0.07 | 8.99 | (6.25) | 22.00 | |
| IUA | ASTRA GRAPHIA | 0 | 3 per month | 3.61 | 0.13 | 19.42 | (4.71) | 42.26 | |
| T9Q | TOTAL BANGUN PERSAD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.89 | |
| 2P0N | PETROSEA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BNB | BAYAN RESOURCES | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.19 | (2.30) | 20.54 | |
| BNB | BAYAN RESOURCES | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.61) | 0.00 | (2.27) | 2.50 | |
| 3IB | INDO TAMBANGRAYA MG | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.49 | (0.07) | 0.88 | (0.85) | 6.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for LB Foster
For every potential investor in LB1A, whether a beginner or expert, LB Foster's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LB1A Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LB1A. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LB Foster's price trends.LB Foster Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LB Foster stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LB Foster could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LB Foster by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LB Foster Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LB Foster stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LB Foster shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LB Foster stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LB Foster entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 |
LB Foster Risk Indicators
The analysis of LB Foster's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LB Foster's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lb1a stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LB Foster
The number of cover stories for LB Foster depends on current market conditions and LB Foster's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LB Foster is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LB Foster's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LB Foster to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in LB1A Stock please use our How to Invest in LB Foster guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..