Lgm Risk Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression

LBETX Fund  USD 11.49  0.02  0.17%   
Lgm Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lgm Risk's share price is at 50. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lgm Risk, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lgm Risk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lgm Risk Managed, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lgm Risk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lgm Risk Managed from the perspective of Lgm Risk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lgm Risk Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 11.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39.

Lgm Risk after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lgm Risk to cross-verify your projections.

Lgm Risk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lgm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lgm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lgm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Lgm Risk price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Lgm Risk Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lgm Risk Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 11.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lgm Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lgm Risk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lgm Risk Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lgm Risk  Lgm Risk Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Lgm Risk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lgm Risk's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lgm Risk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.36 and 11.81, respectively. We have considered Lgm Risk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.49
11.58
Expected Value
11.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lgm Risk mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lgm Risk mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0259
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0391
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors2.3859
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Lgm Risk Managed historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Lgm Risk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lgm Risk Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lgm Risk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2711.4911.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2711.4911.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.4511.5311.62
Details

Lgm Risk After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lgm Risk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lgm Risk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Lgm Risk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lgm Risk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lgm Risk's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lgm Risk's historical news coverage. Lgm Risk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.27 and 11.71, respectively. We have considered Lgm Risk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.49
11.49
After-hype Price
11.71
Upside
Lgm Risk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lgm Risk Managed is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lgm Risk Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Lgm Risk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lgm Risk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lgm Risk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.23
  0.02 
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.49
11.49
0.00 
21.10  
Notes

Lgm Risk Hype Timeline

Lgm Risk Managed is now traded for 11.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lgm is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 21.1%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lgm Risk is about 766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.49. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lgm Risk to cross-verify your projections.

Lgm Risk Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lgm Risk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lgm Risk's future price movements. Getting to know how Lgm Risk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lgm Risk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Lgm Risk

For every potential investor in Lgm, whether a beginner or expert, Lgm Risk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lgm Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lgm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lgm Risk's price trends.

Lgm Risk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lgm Risk mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lgm Risk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lgm Risk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lgm Risk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lgm Risk mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lgm Risk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lgm Risk mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lgm Risk Managed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lgm Risk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lgm Risk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lgm Risk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lgm mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lgm Risk

The number of cover stories for Lgm Risk depends on current market conditions and Lgm Risk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lgm Risk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lgm Risk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Lgm Mutual Fund

Lgm Risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lgm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lgm with respect to the benefits of owning Lgm Risk security.
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