Loblaw Companies Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LBLCF Stock  USD 44.80  0.52  1.15%   
Loblaw Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Loblaw Companies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Loblaw Companies' share price is at 56. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Loblaw Companies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Loblaw Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Loblaw Companies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Loblaw Companies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Loblaw Companies Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Loblaw Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Loblaw Companies Limited from the perspective of Loblaw Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Loblaw Companies Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 45.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.89.

Loblaw Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 44.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loblaw Companies to cross-verify your projections.

Loblaw Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Loblaw price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Loblaw using various technical indicators. When you analyze Loblaw charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Loblaw Companies polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Loblaw Companies Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Loblaw Companies Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Loblaw Companies Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 45.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loblaw Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loblaw Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Loblaw Companies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Loblaw Companies  Loblaw Companies Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Loblaw Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Loblaw Companies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Loblaw Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.05 and 46.64, respectively. We have considered Loblaw Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
44.80
45.34
Expected Value
46.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loblaw Companies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loblaw Companies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6218
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors24.8936
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Loblaw Companies historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Loblaw Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loblaw Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loblaw Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.5144.8046.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.3248.0249.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.0945.0045.91
Details

Loblaw Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Loblaw Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Loblaw Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Loblaw Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Loblaw Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Loblaw Companies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Loblaw Companies' historical news coverage. Loblaw Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.51 and 46.09, respectively. We have considered Loblaw Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
44.80
44.80
After-hype Price
46.09
Upside
Loblaw Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Loblaw Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Loblaw Companies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Loblaw Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Loblaw Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Loblaw Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.29
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.80
44.80
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Loblaw Companies Hype Timeline

Loblaw Companies is now traded for 44.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Loblaw is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Loblaw Companies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.80. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Loblaw Companies was now reported as 34.21. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. Loblaw Companies last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 8th of May 1996. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loblaw Companies to cross-verify your projections.

Loblaw Companies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Loblaw Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Loblaw Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Loblaw Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Loblaw Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPPCYCP All PCL 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.64 (2.52) 16.98 
JSAIYJ Sainsbury PLC 0.00 0 per month 1.90 (0.03) 2.01 (2.10) 13.57 
CRRFYCarrefour SA PK 0.00 0 per month 0.91  0.06  1.69 (1.90) 6.76 
WNGRFGeorge Weston Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.57  0.07  1.70 (0.90) 6.99 
CRERFCarrefour SA 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.01  4.56 (3.84) 19.82 
JSNSFJ Sainsbury plc 0.00 0 per month 3.72  0.01  7.38 (8.37) 27.86 
JRONFJernimo Martins SGPS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.00  0.00  11.39 
KNBWYKirin Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.05  3.15 (1.90) 5.63 
CVPBFCP ALL Public 0.00 0 per month 2.86  0.04  5.71 (5.71) 40.66 
MTRAFMetro Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.02 (0.06) 1.85 (2.30) 6.57 

Other Forecasting Options for Loblaw Companies

For every potential investor in Loblaw, whether a beginner or expert, Loblaw Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Loblaw Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Loblaw. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Loblaw Companies' price trends.

Loblaw Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loblaw Companies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loblaw Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loblaw Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Loblaw Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loblaw Companies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loblaw Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loblaw Companies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Loblaw Companies Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Loblaw Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Loblaw Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loblaw Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loblaw pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Loblaw Companies

The number of cover stories for Loblaw Companies depends on current market conditions and Loblaw Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Loblaw Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Loblaw Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Loblaw Pink Sheet

Loblaw Companies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loblaw Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loblaw with respect to the benefits of owning Loblaw Companies security.