Libra Insurance Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

LBRA Stock   1,748  21.00  1.19%   
Libra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Libra Insurance stock prices and determine the direction of Libra Insurance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Libra Insurance's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Libra Insurance's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Libra Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Libra Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Libra Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Libra Insurance from the perspective of Libra Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Libra Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 1,748 with a mean absolute deviation of 40.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,376.

Libra Insurance after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 1748.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Libra Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Libra Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Libra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Libra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Libra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Libra Insurance is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Libra Insurance Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Libra Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 1,748 with a mean absolute deviation of 40.27, mean absolute percentage error of 2,558, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,376.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Libra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Libra Insurance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Libra Insurance Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Libra Insurance  Libra Insurance Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Libra Insurance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Libra Insurance's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Libra Insurance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,745 and 1,751, respectively. We have considered Libra Insurance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,748
1,748
Expected Value
1,751
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Libra Insurance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Libra Insurance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.2819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.2373
MADMean absolute deviation40.2712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0222
SAESum of the absolute errors2376.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Libra Insurance price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Libra Insurance. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Libra Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Libra Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,7451,7481,751
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7451,7481,750
Details

Libra Insurance After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Libra Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Libra Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Libra Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Libra Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Libra Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Libra Insurance's historical news coverage. Libra Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,745 and 1,751, respectively. We have considered Libra Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,748
1,748
After-hype Price
1,751
Upside
Libra Insurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Libra Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Libra Insurance Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Libra Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Libra Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Libra Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,748
1,748
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Libra Insurance Hype Timeline

Libra Insurance is now traded for 1,748on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Libra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Libra Insurance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,748. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Libra Insurance had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Libra Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Libra Insurance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Libra Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Libra Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Libra Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Libra Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZURZur Shamir Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.17  0.12  3.60 (2.44) 8.73 
SRACSR Accord 0.00 0 per month 1.97  0.01  3.77 (3.25) 12.98 
PENPeninsula Group 0.00 0 per month 1.60  0.10  2.64 (2.96) 13.35 
EMDVEmilia Devel 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.31 (2.81) 9.36 
JCFNJacob Finance And 0.00 0 per month 1.01  0.1  3.53 (2.09) 8.29 
EXPOExport Inv 0.00 0 per month 1.26  0.13  3.47 (2.76) 8.04 
MCLLMichlol Finance 0.00 0 per month 1.43  0.1  4.06 (2.60) 8.26 
MCMNMichman Basad 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.12  4.94 (2.60) 19.30 
WESRWesure Global Tech 0.00 0 per month 2.65  0.26  7.50 (2.81) 22.42 
BLGOBuligo Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.24  3.97 (2.05) 10.05 

Other Forecasting Options for Libra Insurance

For every potential investor in Libra, whether a beginner or expert, Libra Insurance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Libra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Libra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Libra Insurance's price trends.

Libra Insurance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Libra Insurance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Libra Insurance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Libra Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Libra Insurance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Libra Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Libra Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Libra Insurance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Libra Insurance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Libra Insurance Risk Indicators

The analysis of Libra Insurance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Libra Insurance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting libra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Libra Insurance

The number of cover stories for Libra Insurance depends on current market conditions and Libra Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Libra Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Libra Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Libra Stock

Libra Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Libra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Libra with respect to the benefits of owning Libra Insurance security.