Columbia Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Columbia Dividend Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Columbia Dividend simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Columbia Dividend Income are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Columbia Dividend Income prices get older.

Columbia Dividend Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Dividend Income on the next trading day is expected to be 37.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.43.

Columbia Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Columbia Dividend

Columbia Dividend Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Columbia Dividend Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Dividend mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Dividend mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Columbia Dividend Income forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Columbia Dividend observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Columbia Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Dividend Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 36.61 37.43 38.25 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 33.49 39.34 40.16 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 36.08 36.86 37.64 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Dividend Income.

Columbia Dividend After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Columbia Dividend Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Columbia Dividend Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Columbia Dividend Hype Timeline

Columbia Dividend Income is now traded for 37.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.6. Columbia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 51.9%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Dividend is about 19.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.81. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Columbia Dividend to cross-verify your projections.

Columbia Dividend Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Columbia Dividend

For every potential investor in Columbia, whether a beginner or expert, Columbia Dividend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Columbia Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Columbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Columbia Dividend's price trends.

Columbia Dividend Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Columbia Dividend Market Strength Events

Columbia Dividend Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Columbia Dividend

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund