Liberty Star OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LBSR Stock | USD 0.05 0.01 10.33% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Star Uranium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20. Liberty OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Liberty Star's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Liberty Star based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Liberty Star hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Star Uranium from the perspective of Liberty Star response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Star Uranium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20. Liberty Star after-hype prediction price | USD 0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Liberty |
Liberty Star Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Liberty Star Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liberty Star Uranium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liberty OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liberty Star's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Liberty Star OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Liberty Star | Liberty Star Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Liberty Star Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Liberty Star's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liberty Star's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 13.67, respectively. We have considered Liberty Star's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liberty Star otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liberty Star otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.9558 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0032 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0677 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1979 |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Star
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Star Uranium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Star's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liberty Star After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liberty Star at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Star or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Star, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liberty Star Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liberty Star's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Star's historical news coverage. Liberty Star's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 13.68, respectively. We have considered Liberty Star's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liberty Star is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Star Uranium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liberty Star OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Liberty Star is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Star backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Star, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 13.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.05 | 0.05 | 7.06 |
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Liberty Star Hype Timeline
Liberty Star Uranium is now traded for 0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Liberty is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -7.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Star is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Liberty Star Uranium had 1:500 split on the 25th of February 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liberty Star to cross-verify your projections.Liberty Star Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Star's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Star's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Star's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Star may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABRMF | Arbor Metals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,150 | |
| EELFF | ENRG Elements Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | (50.00) | 686.29 | |
| RECHF | Recharge Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.83 | 0.11 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 36.67 | |
| NDMCF | New Destiny Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.71 | |
| LMRMF | Lomiko Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.30 | 0.04 | 9.09 | (8.42) | 24.09 | |
| ALEEF | Alerio Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 16.48 | (9.62) | 55.81 | |
| PRRSF | Posera | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.06 | 0.04 | 15.47 | (16.16) | 52.14 | |
| AXVEF | CDN Maverick Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.86 | (0) | 5.00 | (5.56) | 38.10 | |
| BKTPF | Cruz Cobalt Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.34 | 0.06 | 20.85 | (20.00) | 77.13 | |
| CASXF | Casa Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 19.91 | 0.00 | 58.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Liberty Star
For every potential investor in Liberty, whether a beginner or expert, Liberty Star's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liberty OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liberty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liberty Star's price trends.Liberty Star Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liberty Star otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liberty Star could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liberty Star by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Liberty Star Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liberty Star otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liberty Star shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liberty Star otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liberty Star Uranium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46333.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.83) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0552 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0548 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Liberty Star Risk Indicators
The analysis of Liberty Star's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liberty Star's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liberty otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.46 | |||
| Variance | 181.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 104.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 99.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Liberty Star
The number of cover stories for Liberty Star depends on current market conditions and Liberty Star's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Star is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Star's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Liberty OTC Stock Analysis
When running Liberty Star's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Star's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Star is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Star's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Star's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Star's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Star to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.