Lazard Capital Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression
| LCAOX Fund | USD 10.22 0.10 0.99% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lazard Capital Allocator on the next trading day is expected to be 10.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17. Lazard Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lazard Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lazard Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lazard Capital Allocator from the perspective of Lazard Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lazard Capital Allocator on the next trading day is expected to be 10.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17. Lazard Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 15.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lazard |
Lazard Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lazard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lazard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lazard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lazard Capital Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lazard Capital Allocator on the next trading day is expected to be 10.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lazard Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lazard Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lazard Capital Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lazard Capital | Lazard Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lazard Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lazard Capital's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lazard Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.29 and 12.32, respectively. We have considered Lazard Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lazard Capital mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lazard Capital mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3414 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0374 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.1687 |
Predictive Modules for Lazard Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Capital Allocator. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lazard Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lazard Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lazard Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Lazard Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lazard Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lazard Capital's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lazard Capital's historical news coverage. Lazard Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.20 and 17.75, respectively. We have considered Lazard Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lazard Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lazard Capital Allocator is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lazard Capital Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Lazard Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lazard Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lazard Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.01 | 5.15 | 0.35 | 13 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.22 | 15.74 | 54.00 |
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Lazard Capital Hype Timeline
Lazard Capital Allocator is now traded for 10.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 5.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Lazard is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.738800000000001 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 9.75%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 54.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Lazard Capital is about 141.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.57. Debt can assist Lazard Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lazard Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lazard Capital Allocator sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lazard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lazard Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lazard Capital to cross-verify your projections.Lazard Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lazard Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lazard Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Lazard Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lazard Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMAY | Innovator ETFs Trust | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.26 | (0.13) | 0.63 | (0.62) | 1.60 | |
| HICSX | Harbor Vertible Securities | 0.25 | 1 per month | 0.92 | (0) | 1.61 | (1.61) | 3.98 | |
| WSMGX | Small Pany Growth | (2.19) | 5 per month | 1.17 | 0.03 | 2.14 | (1.86) | 5.66 | |
| DTSGX | Small Pany Growth | 11.28 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.03 | 2.15 | (1.86) | 5.65 | |
| DLEUX | Doubleline Shiller Enhanced | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | (0.04) | 1.08 | (0.84) | 3.56 | |
| DTSVX | Small Pany Value | (2.19) | 7 per month | 0.43 | 0.15 | 2.63 | (1.40) | 14.15 | |
| WSMVX | Small Pany Value | 6.87 | 14 per month | 0.44 | 0.15 | 2.63 | (1.44) | 13.70 | |
| RHJSX | Rice Hall James | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.79 | (2.06) | 66.38 | |
| LZFOX | Lazard Equity Franchise | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.26 | (1.42) | 8.76 | |
| CAEAX | Columbia Acorn European | 0.22 | 1 per month | 0.75 | (0.05) | 1.06 | (1.07) | 2.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lazard Capital
For every potential investor in Lazard, whether a beginner or expert, Lazard Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lazard Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lazard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lazard Capital's price trends.Lazard Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lazard Capital mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lazard Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lazard Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lazard Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lazard Capital mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lazard Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lazard Capital mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lazard Capital Allocator entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 |
Lazard Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lazard Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lazard Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lazard mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7054 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1137 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5091 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0129 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lazard Capital
The number of cover stories for Lazard Capital depends on current market conditions and Lazard Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lazard Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lazard Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Lazard Mutual Fund
Lazard Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lazard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lazard with respect to the benefits of owning Lazard Capital security.
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