Lakeshore Acquisition Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LCCC Stock   10.23  0.02  0.20%   
Lakeshore Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lakeshore Acquisition stock prices and determine the direction of Lakeshore Acquisition III's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Lakeshore Acquisition's stock price is about 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lakeshore, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lakeshore Acquisition's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lakeshore Acquisition III, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lakeshore Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lakeshore Acquisition III from the perspective of Lakeshore Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lakeshore Acquisition III on the next trading day is expected to be 10.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.

Lakeshore Acquisition after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.

Lakeshore Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lakeshore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lakeshore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lakeshore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Lakeshore Acquisition - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Lakeshore Acquisition prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Lakeshore Acquisition price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Lakeshore Acquisition III.

Lakeshore Acquisition Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lakeshore Acquisition III on the next trading day is expected to be 10.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lakeshore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lakeshore Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lakeshore Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lakeshore Acquisition  Lakeshore Acquisition Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lakeshore Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lakeshore Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lakeshore Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.12 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered Lakeshore Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.23
10.23
Expected Value
10.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lakeshore Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lakeshore Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0023
MADMean absolute deviation0.007
MAPEMean absolute percentage error7.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4107
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Lakeshore Acquisition observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Lakeshore Acquisition III observations.

Predictive Modules for Lakeshore Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lakeshore Acquisition III. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lakeshore Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1210.2310.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.468.5711.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.1710.2110.24
Details

Lakeshore Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lakeshore Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lakeshore Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lakeshore Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lakeshore Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lakeshore Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lakeshore Acquisition's historical news coverage. Lakeshore Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.12 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered Lakeshore Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.23
10.23
After-hype Price
10.34
Upside
Lakeshore Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lakeshore Acquisition III is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lakeshore Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lakeshore Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lakeshore Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lakeshore Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.11
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.23
10.23
0.00 
1,100  
Notes

Lakeshore Acquisition Hype Timeline

Lakeshore Acquisition III is now traded for 10.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lakeshore is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lakeshore Acquisition is about 52.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.23. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.

Lakeshore Acquisition Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lakeshore Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lakeshore Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Lakeshore Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lakeshore Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HSPTHorizon Space Acquisition 0.01 7 per month 0.14 (0.19) 0.48 (0.38) 1.81 
ASPCA SPAC III(0.05)9 per month 6.90  0.08  29.42 (16.65) 99.90 
HSPOHorizon Space Acquisition 0.00 6 per month 3.52  0.01  2.46 (3.24) 61.25 
MAYAUMAYAU Old(1.56)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  6.37 
COLAUColumbus Acquisition Corp 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.19  0.00  3.64 
SPKLSpark I Acquisition(0.08)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.16 (1.22) 4.58 
BYNOBynordic Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  5.12 
UYSCUY Scuti Acquisition 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.54) 0.20 (0.19) 0.59 

Other Forecasting Options for Lakeshore Acquisition

For every potential investor in Lakeshore, whether a beginner or expert, Lakeshore Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lakeshore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lakeshore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lakeshore Acquisition's price trends.

Lakeshore Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lakeshore Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lakeshore Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lakeshore Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lakeshore Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lakeshore Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lakeshore Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lakeshore Acquisition III entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lakeshore Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lakeshore Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lakeshore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lakeshore Acquisition

The number of cover stories for Lakeshore Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Lakeshore Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lakeshore Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lakeshore Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Lakeshore Acquisition Short Properties

Lakeshore Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lakeshore Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lakeshore Acquisition III often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lakeshore Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lakeshore Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Short Prior Month6095
Shares Float8.9 M
When determining whether Lakeshore Acquisition III is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lakeshore Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lakeshore Acquisition Iii Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lakeshore Acquisition Iii Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lakeshore Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Shell Companies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lakeshore Acquisition. If investors know Lakeshore will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lakeshore Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lakeshore Acquisition III is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lakeshore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lakeshore Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lakeshore Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lakeshore Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lakeshore Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lakeshore Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lakeshore Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lakeshore Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.