Lineage Cell Stock Forward View
| LCTX Stock | USD 1.50 0.00 0.00% |
Lineage Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the RSI of Lineage Cell's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lineage Cell, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.06) | Wall Street Target Price 4.1667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Lineage Cell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lineage Cell Therapeutics from the perspective of Lineage Cell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lineage Cell using Lineage Cell's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lineage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lineage Cell's stock price.
Lineage Cell Implied Volatility | 1.64 |
Lineage Cell's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lineage Cell Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lineage Cell's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lineage Cell stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lineage Cell's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lineage Cell Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33. Lineage Cell after-hype prediction price | USD 1.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lineage Cell to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lineage contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lineage Cell Therapeutics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lineage Cell trading at USD 1.5, that is roughly USD 0.001538 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lineage Cell's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lineage Cell Therapeutics options at the current volatility level of 1.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lineage Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lineage Cell's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lineage Cell's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lineage Cell stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lineage Cell's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lineage Cell's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lineage Cell is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lineage. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lineage Cell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lineage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lineage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lineage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Lineage Cell's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1992-03-31 | Previous Quarter 42.3 M | Current Value 40.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.8 M |
Lineage Cell Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lineage Cell Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lineage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lineage Cell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lineage Cell Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lineage Cell | Lineage Cell Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lineage Cell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lineage Cell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lineage Cell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.76, respectively. We have considered Lineage Cell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lineage Cell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lineage Cell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1116 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0223 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.328 |
Predictive Modules for Lineage Cell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lineage Cell Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lineage Cell's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lineage Cell After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lineage Cell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lineage Cell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lineage Cell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lineage Cell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lineage Cell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lineage Cell's historical news coverage. Lineage Cell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 4.83, respectively. We have considered Lineage Cell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lineage Cell is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lineage Cell Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lineage Cell Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lineage Cell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lineage Cell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lineage Cell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.32 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.50 | 1.51 | 0.67 |
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Lineage Cell Hype Timeline
Lineage Cell Therapeutics is now traded for 1.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Lineage is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Lineage Cell is about 1198.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.61 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.95 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lineage Cell to cross-verify your projections.Lineage Cell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lineage Cell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lineage Cell's future price movements. Getting to know how Lineage Cell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lineage Cell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGNE | Neurogene | (0.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.59 | (9.34) | 23.85 | |
| OCGN | Ocugen Inc | 0.22 | 10 per month | 4.40 | (0.01) | 7.25 | (7.43) | 32.50 | |
| BNTC | Benitec Biopharma Ltd | (0.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.86 | (6.53) | 26.95 | |
| ADCT | ADC Therapeutics SA | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.49 | (7.06) | 22.84 | |
| AUTL | Autolus Therapeutics | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.45 | (8.67) | 30.76 | |
| FULC | Fulcrum Therapeutics | (0.59) | 9 per month | 4.57 | 0.05 | 11.56 | (7.84) | 53.80 | |
| PRTC | PureTech Health PLC | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.51 | 0.03 | 4.53 | (4.58) | 14.71 | |
| GALT | Galectin Therapeutics | (0.50) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.46 | (8.89) | 43.49 | |
| OMER | Omeros | 0.60 | 7 per month | 4.49 | 0.09 | 12.62 | (7.99) | 87.69 | |
| RAPT | RAPT Therapeutics | (2.21) | 6 per month | 3.04 | 0.14 | 7.87 | (6.78) | 64.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lineage Cell
For every potential investor in Lineage, whether a beginner or expert, Lineage Cell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lineage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lineage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lineage Cell's price trends.Lineage Cell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lineage Cell stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lineage Cell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lineage Cell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lineage Cell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lineage Cell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lineage Cell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lineage Cell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lineage Cell Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0759 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.51 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.95 |
Lineage Cell Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lineage Cell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lineage Cell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lineage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Variance | 12.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lineage Cell
The number of cover stories for Lineage Cell depends on current market conditions and Lineage Cell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lineage Cell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lineage Cell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lineage Cell Short Properties
Lineage Cell's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lineage Cell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lineage Cell Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lineage Cell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lineage Cell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.8 M |
Additional Tools for Lineage Stock Analysis
When running Lineage Cell's price analysis, check to measure Lineage Cell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lineage Cell is operating at the current time. Most of Lineage Cell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lineage Cell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lineage Cell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lineage Cell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.