Land Securities Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LDSCY Stock | USD 9.14 0.03 0.33% |
Land Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Land Securities' pink sheet price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Land, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Land Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Land Securities Group from the perspective of Land Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Land Securities Group on the next trading day is expected to be 9.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.32. Land Securities after-hype prediction price | USD 9.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Land |
Land Securities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Land price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Land using various technical indicators. When you analyze Land charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Land Securities Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Land Securities Group on the next trading day is expected to be 9.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Land Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Land Securities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Land Securities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Land Securities | Land Securities Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Land Securities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Land Securities' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Land Securities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.51 and 10.77, respectively. We have considered Land Securities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Land Securities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Land Securities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1029 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1036 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.32 |
Predictive Modules for Land Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Land Securities Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Land Securities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Land Securities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Land Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Land Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Land Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Land Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Land Securities' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Land Securities' historical news coverage. Land Securities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.51 and 10.77, respectively. We have considered Land Securities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Land Securities is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Land Securities Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Land Securities Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Land Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Land Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Land Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.14 | 9.14 | 0.00 |
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Land Securities Hype Timeline
Land Securities Group is now traded for 9.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Land is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Land Securities is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.14. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Land Securities Group last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2023. The entity had 15:16 split on the 23rd of October 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Land Securities to cross-verify your projections.Land Securities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Land Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Land Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how Land Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Land Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRLAF | British Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.87 | 0.03 | 3.18 | (8.02) | 35.32 | |
| LNSPF | LondonMetric Property Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.01 | 2.43 | (1.61) | 8.63 | |
| GPTGF | GPT Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.25 | 0.00 | 10.63 | |
| FBASF | Fibra UNO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.09 | 6.16 | (4.52) | 16.54 | |
| BTLCY | British Land | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.1 | 2.58 | (1.99) | 8.55 | |
| WDPSF | Warehouses De Pauw | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.03 | 4.08 | (2.20) | 9.25 | |
| DEXSF | DEXUS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (5.56) | 14.01 | |
| FBBPF | FIBRA Prologis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.13 | 0.08 | 6.05 | (5.70) | 17.77 | |
| GSEFF | Covivio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LEGIF | LEG Immobilien SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Land Securities
For every potential investor in Land, whether a beginner or expert, Land Securities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Land Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Land. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Land Securities' price trends.Land Securities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Land Securities pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Land Securities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Land Securities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Land Securities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Land Securities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Land Securities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Land Securities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Land Securities Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Land Securities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Land Securities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Land Securities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting land pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Land Securities
The number of cover stories for Land Securities depends on current market conditions and Land Securities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Land Securities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Land Securities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Land Securities Short Properties
Land Securities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Land Securities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Land Securities Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Land Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Land Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 742 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128 M |
Additional Tools for Land Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Land Securities' price analysis, check to measure Land Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Land Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Land Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Land Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Land Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Land Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.