Lendway Stock Forward View
| LDWYDelisted Stock | 5.25 0.51 10.76% |
Lendway Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Lendway's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lendway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lendway from the perspective of Lendway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lendway on the next trading day is expected to be 5.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.70. Lendway after-hype prediction price | USD 5.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lendway |
Lendway Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lendway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lendway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lendway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lendway Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lendway on the next trading day is expected to be 5.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lendway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lendway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lendway Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lendway | Lendway Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lendway Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lendway's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lendway's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.70, respectively. We have considered Lendway's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lendway stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lendway stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8172 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1427 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0369 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.7025 |
Predictive Modules for Lendway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lendway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lendway's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lendway After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lendway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lendway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lendway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lendway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lendway's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lendway's historical news coverage. Lendway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 11.36, respectively. We have considered Lendway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lendway is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lendway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lendway Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lendway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lendway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lendway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 6.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.25 | 5.26 | 0.19 |
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Lendway Hype Timeline
Lendway is now traded for 5.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lendway is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Lendway is about 61000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.25. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 37.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.06 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lendway to cross-verify your projections.Lendway Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lendway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lendway's future price movements. Getting to know how Lendway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lendway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.11 | (17.27) | 95.20 | |
| TNMG | TNL Mediagene Ordinary | (0.36) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 20.60 | (15.98) | 81.66 | |
| CNET | ZW Data Action | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.09 | (8.45) | 32.37 | |
| UCL | Ucloudlink Group | 0.07 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.27 | (8.12) | 26.62 | |
| BAOS | Baosheng Media Group | (0.05) | 6 per month | 4.01 | 0 | 8.01 | (6.98) | 44.69 | |
| LCFY | Locafy | (0.26) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.71 | (8.93) | 61.19 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | 0.29 | 4 per month | 9.13 | 0.03 | 9.71 | (17.06) | 228.24 | |
| KRKR | 36Kr Holdings | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.67 | (8.51) | 27.42 | |
| ONFO | Onfolio Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.61 | (8.11) | 34.12 | |
| BBGI | Beasley Broadcast Group | (0.11) | 8 per month | 8.60 | 0.07 | 10.85 | (16.18) | 359.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lendway
For every potential investor in Lendway, whether a beginner or expert, Lendway's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lendway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lendway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lendway's price trends.Lendway Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lendway stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lendway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lendway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lendway Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lendway stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lendway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lendway stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lendway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lendway Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lendway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lendway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lendway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.0 | |||
| Variance | 49.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 38.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 31.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lendway
The number of cover stories for Lendway depends on current market conditions and Lendway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lendway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lendway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lendway Short Properties
Lendway's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lendway's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lendway often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lendway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lendway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lendway to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in Lendway Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Lendway check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Lendway's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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