Lee Enterprises Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LEE Stock | USD 5.41 0.19 3.39% |
Lee Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lee Enterprises stock prices and determine the direction of Lee Enterprises Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lee Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Lee Enterprises' share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lee Enterprises, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Lee Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lee Enterprises Incorporated from the perspective of Lee Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lee Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lee Enterprises Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.08.Lee Enterprises Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lee Enterprises' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lee Enterprises Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lee Enterprises' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lee Enterprises.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lee Enterprises Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.08. Lee Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 5.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. Lee Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lee Enterprises Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lee Enterprises Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lee Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lee Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lee Enterprises | Lee Enterprises Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lee Enterprises Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lee Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lee Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 12.11, respectively. We have considered Lee Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lee Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lee Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0444 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1846 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0415 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.0774 |
Predictive Modules for Lee Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lee Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lee Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lee Enterprises After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lee Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lee Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lee Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lee Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lee Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lee Enterprises' historical news coverage. Lee Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.27 and 12.03, respectively. We have considered Lee Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lee Enterprises is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lee Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lee Enterprises Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lee Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lee Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lee Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 6.67 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.41 | 5.41 | 0.00 |
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Lee Enterprises Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Lee Enterprises is traded for 5.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Lee is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lee Enterprises is about 16675.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.43. About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.9. Lee Enterprises recorded a loss per share of 6.83. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of August 2008. The firm had 1:10 split on the 15th of March 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.Lee Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lee Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lee Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Lee Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lee Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGAE | Allied Gaming Entertainment | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 8.82 | (7.89) | 22.00 | |
| EDHL | Everbright Digital Holding | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.99 | (17.07) | 71.21 | |
| HAO | Haoxi Health Technology | (0.03) | 21 per month | 3.46 | 0.07 | 9.30 | (5.83) | 33.36 | |
| HHS | Harte Hanks | 0.03 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.37 | (7.05) | 24.90 | |
| BODI | The Beachbody Company | (0.01) | 17 per month | 4.40 | 0.19 | 16.28 | (7.03) | 31.37 | |
| NAMI | Jinxin Technology Holding | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.63 | (9.76) | 57.29 | |
| ANGH | Anghami De | (0.02) | 15 per month | 4.79 | 0.03 | 5.78 | (10.26) | 75.83 | |
| AENT | Alliance Entertainment Holding | 0.08 | 9 per month | 3.15 | 0.12 | 9.06 | (5.13) | 25.74 | |
| SEGG | Lottery | 0.07 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 28.00 | (16.76) | 95.60 | |
| UONE | Urban One | 0.13 | 8 per month | 4.09 | 0.02 | 6.03 | (5.65) | 25.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lee Enterprises
For every potential investor in Lee, whether a beginner or expert, Lee Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lee Enterprises' price trends.Lee Enterprises Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lee Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lee Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lee Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lee Enterprises Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lee Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lee Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lee Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lee Enterprises Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lee Enterprises Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lee Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lee Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.44 | |||
| Variance | 41.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lee Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Lee Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Lee Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lee Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lee Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lee Enterprises Short Properties
Lee Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lee Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lee Enterprises Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lee Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lee Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Publishing sector continue expanding? Could Lee diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lee Enterprises. Expected growth trajectory for Lee significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lee Enterprises data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share (6.83) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Lee Enterprises using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Lee Enterprises' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Lee Enterprises' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Lee Enterprises' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lee Enterprises represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Lee Enterprises' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.