Lazard Enhanced Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LEOIX Fund  USD 8.68  0.01  0.12%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lazard Enhanced Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41. Lazard Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Lazard Enhanced works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Lazard Enhanced Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lazard Enhanced Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000084, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lazard Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lazard Enhanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lazard Enhanced Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Lazard Enhanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lazard Enhanced's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lazard Enhanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.58 and 8.79, respectively. We have considered Lazard Enhanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.68
8.68
Expected Value
8.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lazard Enhanced mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lazard Enhanced mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.007
MAPEMean absolute percentage error8.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4127
When Lazard Enhanced Opportunities prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Lazard Enhanced Opportunities trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Lazard Enhanced observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lazard Enhanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Enhanced Oppo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.628.738.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.867.979.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lazard Enhanced

For every potential investor in Lazard, whether a beginner or expert, Lazard Enhanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lazard Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lazard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lazard Enhanced's price trends.

Lazard Enhanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lazard Enhanced mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lazard Enhanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lazard Enhanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lazard Enhanced Oppo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lazard Enhanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lazard Enhanced's current price.

Lazard Enhanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lazard Enhanced mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lazard Enhanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lazard Enhanced mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lazard Enhanced Opportunities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lazard Enhanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lazard Enhanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lazard Enhanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lazard mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lazard Mutual Fund

Lazard Enhanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lazard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lazard with respect to the benefits of owning Lazard Enhanced security.
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