Lion Electric Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

LEV Stock  USD 0.21  0.01  4.55%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lion Electric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Lion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Lion Electric's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 0.31 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.98 in 2024. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 21.5 M in 2024, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 162.3 M in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Lion Electric is based on an artificially constructed time series of Lion Electric daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lion Electric 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lion Electric Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lion Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lion Electric Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lion Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lion Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lion Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.09, respectively. We have considered Lion Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.21
0.26
Expected Value
8.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lion Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lion Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.1412
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0445
MADMean absolute deviation0.0501
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1319
SAESum of the absolute errors2.6562
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lion Electric Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lion Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lion Electric Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lion Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.218.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.128.95
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.493.844.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lion Electric

For every potential investor in Lion, whether a beginner or expert, Lion Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lion Electric's price trends.

Lion Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lion Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lion Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lion Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lion Electric Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lion Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lion Electric's current price.

Lion Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lion Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lion Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lion Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lion Electric Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lion Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lion Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lion Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Lion Stock Analysis

When running Lion Electric's price analysis, check to measure Lion Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lion Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Lion Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lion Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lion Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lion Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.