Ing Crprt Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LEXCX Fund  USD 66.90  0.53  0.79%   
Ing Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Ing Crprt's share price is at 53. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ing Crprt, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ing Crprt's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ing Crprt Ldrs, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ing Crprt hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ing Crprt Ldrs from the perspective of Ing Crprt response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ing Crprt Ldrs on the next trading day is expected to be 67.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.14.

Ing Crprt after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 67.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ing Crprt to cross-verify your projections.

Ing Crprt Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ing Crprt - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ing Crprt prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ing Crprt price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ing Crprt Ldrs.

Ing Crprt Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ing Crprt Ldrs on the next trading day is expected to be 67.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ing Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ing Crprt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ing Crprt Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ing Crprt  Ing Crprt Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Ing Crprt Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ing Crprt's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ing Crprt's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.31 and 67.86, respectively. We have considered Ing Crprt's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.90
67.09
Expected Value
67.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ing Crprt mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ing Crprt mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0278
MADMean absolute deviation0.3923
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors23.1447
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ing Crprt observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ing Crprt Ldrs observations.

Predictive Modules for Ing Crprt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ing Crprt Ldrs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ing Crprt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.6867.4668.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.2667.0467.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.2566.5467.83
Details

Ing Crprt After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ing Crprt at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ing Crprt or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Ing Crprt, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ing Crprt Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ing Crprt's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ing Crprt's historical news coverage. Ing Crprt's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.68 and 68.24, respectively. We have considered Ing Crprt's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
66.90
67.46
After-hype Price
68.24
Upside
Ing Crprt is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ing Crprt Ldrs is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ing Crprt Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Ing Crprt is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ing Crprt backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ing Crprt, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.78
  0.03 
  0.10 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
66.90
67.46
0.04 
165.96  
Notes

Ing Crprt Hype Timeline

Ing Crprt Ldrs is now traded for 66.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Ing is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 165.96%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Ing Crprt is about 55.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.80. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ing Crprt to cross-verify your projections.

Ing Crprt Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ing Crprt's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ing Crprt's future price movements. Getting to know how Ing Crprt's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ing Crprt may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Ing Crprt

For every potential investor in Ing, whether a beginner or expert, Ing Crprt's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ing Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ing Crprt's price trends.

Ing Crprt Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ing Crprt mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ing Crprt could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ing Crprt by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ing Crprt Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ing Crprt mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ing Crprt shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ing Crprt mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ing Crprt Ldrs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ing Crprt Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ing Crprt's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ing Crprt's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ing mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ing Crprt

The number of cover stories for Ing Crprt depends on current market conditions and Ing Crprt's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ing Crprt is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ing Crprt's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Ing Mutual Fund

Ing Crprt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ing Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ing with respect to the benefits of owning Ing Crprt security.
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