Ledyard Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LFGP Stock  USD 15.00  0.00  0.00%   
Ledyard OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Ledyard Financial's otc stock price is slightly above 64. This indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ledyard, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ledyard Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ledyard Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ledyard Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ledyard Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ledyard Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ledyard Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ledyard Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ledyard Financial Group from the perspective of Ledyard Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ledyard Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.74.

Ledyard Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ledyard Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Ledyard Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ledyard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ledyard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ledyard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Ledyard Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ledyard Financial Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ledyard Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ledyard Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ledyard OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ledyard Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ledyard Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ledyard Financial  Ledyard Financial Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Ledyard Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ledyard Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ledyard Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.57 and 15.93, respectively. We have considered Ledyard Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.00
14.75
Expected Value
15.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ledyard Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ledyard Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6183
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1433
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors8.7405
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ledyard Financial Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ledyard Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ledyard Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ledyard Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8215.0016.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3812.5616.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.9314.9915.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ledyard Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ledyard Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ledyard Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ledyard Financial.

Ledyard Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ledyard Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ledyard Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Ledyard Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ledyard Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ledyard Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ledyard Financial's historical news coverage. Ledyard Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.82 and 16.18, respectively. We have considered Ledyard Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.00
15.00
After-hype Price
16.18
Upside
Ledyard Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ledyard Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ledyard Financial OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Ledyard Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ledyard Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ledyard Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.00
15.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ledyard Financial Hype Timeline

Ledyard Financial is now traded for 15.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ledyard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ledyard Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Ledyard Financial last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2023. The entity had 3:1 split on the 21st of September 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ledyard Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Ledyard Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ledyard Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ledyard Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ledyard Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ledyard Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NIDBNortheast Indiana Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.01  1.94 (1.83) 7.18 
PEBCPeoples Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.63 (1.02) 3.13 
LSFGLifestore Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 1.77 (0.02) 4.28 (4.08) 20.93 
HFBKHarford Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.14  0.08  3.29 (2.21) 13.08 
BAOBBaraboo Bancorporation 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.11  2.45 (1.78) 11.56 
FGFIFirst Greenwich Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.34) 0.26  0.00  0.46 
FFWCFFW Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.69 (0.55) 3.53 
PBKXPartners Bank of 0.00 0 per month 0.25  0.18  3.01 (1.00) 5.98 
INFTInfinity Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00 (0.64) 10.54 
MBKLMBT Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 2.03  0.04  5.73 (3.38) 22.40 

Other Forecasting Options for Ledyard Financial

For every potential investor in Ledyard, whether a beginner or expert, Ledyard Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ledyard OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ledyard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ledyard Financial's price trends.

Ledyard Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ledyard Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ledyard Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ledyard Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ledyard Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ledyard Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ledyard Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ledyard Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ledyard Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ledyard Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ledyard Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ledyard Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ledyard otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ledyard Financial

The number of cover stories for Ledyard Financial depends on current market conditions and Ledyard Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ledyard Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ledyard Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Ledyard OTC Stock Analysis

When running Ledyard Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ledyard Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ledyard Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ledyard Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ledyard Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ledyard Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ledyard Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.