YieldMax Crypto Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

LFGY Etf   25.98  0.38  1.48%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YieldMax Crypto Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 26.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.12. YieldMax Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of YieldMax Crypto's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of YieldMax Crypto's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with YieldMax Crypto Industry, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using YieldMax Crypto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YieldMax Crypto Industry from the perspective of YieldMax Crypto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards YieldMax Crypto using YieldMax Crypto's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards YieldMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of YieldMax Crypto's stock price.

YieldMax Crypto Implied Volatility

    
  0.99  
YieldMax Crypto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of YieldMax Crypto Industry stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if YieldMax Crypto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that YieldMax Crypto stock will not fluctuate a lot when YieldMax Crypto's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YieldMax Crypto Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 26.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.12.

YieldMax Crypto after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Crypto to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current YieldMax contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that YieldMax Crypto Industry will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With YieldMax Crypto trading at USD 25.98, that is roughly USD 0.0161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating YieldMax Crypto's daily price movement you should consider acquiring YieldMax Crypto Industry options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 YieldMax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YieldMax Crypto's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YieldMax Crypto's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YieldMax Crypto stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YieldMax Crypto's open interest, investors have to compare it to YieldMax Crypto's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YieldMax Crypto is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YieldMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

YieldMax Crypto Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine YieldMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YieldMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze YieldMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for YieldMax Crypto is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of YieldMax Crypto Industry value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

YieldMax Crypto Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of YieldMax Crypto Industry on the next trading day is expected to be 26.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YieldMax Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YieldMax Crypto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YieldMax Crypto Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest YieldMax CryptoYieldMax Crypto Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

YieldMax Crypto Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YieldMax Crypto's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YieldMax Crypto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.54 and 28.93, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Crypto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.98
26.74
Expected Value
28.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YieldMax Crypto etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YieldMax Crypto etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7785
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7233
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0277
SAESum of the absolute errors44.124
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of YieldMax Crypto Industry. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict YieldMax Crypto. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for YieldMax Crypto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax Crypto Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4425.6527.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3725.5827.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.0325.6027.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as YieldMax Crypto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against YieldMax Crypto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, YieldMax Crypto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in YieldMax Crypto Industry.

YieldMax Crypto After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of YieldMax Crypto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YieldMax Crypto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of YieldMax Crypto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

YieldMax Crypto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting YieldMax Crypto's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YieldMax Crypto's historical news coverage. YieldMax Crypto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.44 and 27.86, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Crypto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.98
25.65
After-hype Price
27.86
Upside
YieldMax Crypto is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YieldMax Crypto Industry is based on 3 months time horizon.

YieldMax Crypto Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as YieldMax Crypto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YieldMax Crypto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YieldMax Crypto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
2.19
  0.05 
  0.09 
3 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.98
25.65
0.20 
1,369  
Notes

YieldMax Crypto Hype Timeline

YieldMax Crypto Industry is now traded for 25.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. YieldMax is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on YieldMax Crypto is about 763.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.89. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Crypto to cross-verify your projections.

YieldMax Crypto Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to YieldMax Crypto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YieldMax Crypto's future price movements. Getting to know how YieldMax Crypto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YieldMax Crypto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ROEAstoria Quality Kings(0.10)7 per month 0.86  0.01  1.34 (1.66) 3.56 
CWSAdvisorShares Focused Equity(0.50)4 per month 0.80 (0.03) 1.39 (1.16) 4.20 
UFEBInnovator SP 500 0.04 4 per month 0.16 (0.15) 0.62 (0.61) 1.51 
BMARInnovator SP 500 0.05 3 per month 0.29 (0.12) 0.66 (0.63) 2.08 
SIXL6 Meridian Low 0.24 2 per month 0.53 (0.07) 1.07 (0.78) 3.40 
NFTYFirst Trust India(0.58)1 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.16 (0.99) 3.79 
MOTIVanEck Morningstar International(0.23)2 per month 0.60 (0.06) 1.15 (1.03) 2.60 
XESSPDR SP Oil(0.90)2 per month 1.47  0.19  3.70 (3.31) 10.85 
POWAInvesco Bloomberg Pricing(0.60)2 per month 0.65 (0.05) 1.18 (0.92) 3.80 
BVALExchange Traded Concepts(0.29)1 per month 0.49 (0.01) 1.12 (1.06) 2.92 

Other Forecasting Options for YieldMax Crypto

For every potential investor in YieldMax, whether a beginner or expert, YieldMax Crypto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YieldMax Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YieldMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YieldMax Crypto's price trends.

YieldMax Crypto Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YieldMax Crypto etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YieldMax Crypto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YieldMax Crypto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YieldMax Crypto Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YieldMax Crypto etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YieldMax Crypto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YieldMax Crypto etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YieldMax Crypto Industry entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YieldMax Crypto Risk Indicators

The analysis of YieldMax Crypto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YieldMax Crypto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yieldmax etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for YieldMax Crypto

The number of cover stories for YieldMax Crypto depends on current market conditions and YieldMax Crypto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YieldMax Crypto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YieldMax Crypto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether YieldMax Crypto Industry offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YieldMax Crypto's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yieldmax Crypto Industry Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yieldmax Crypto Industry Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Crypto to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
The market value of YieldMax Crypto Industry is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax Crypto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax Crypto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax Crypto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax Crypto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Crypto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Crypto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Crypto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.