Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

LFLYWDelisted Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Leafly Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Leafly Holdings' share price is at 51. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Leafly Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Leafly Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Leafly Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Leafly Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leafly Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Leafly Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leafly Holdings from the perspective of Leafly Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Leafly Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.

Leafly Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.25E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Leafly Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Leafly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leafly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leafly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Leafly Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Leafly Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Leafly Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000754, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leafly Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leafly Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Leafly Holdings  Leafly Holdings Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leafly Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leafly Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.3152
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0021
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1259
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Leafly Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Leafly Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leafly Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leafly Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000950.00
Details

Leafly Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Leafly Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leafly Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Leafly Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Leafly Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Leafly Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leafly Holdings' historical news coverage. Leafly Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Leafly Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Leafly Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leafly Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leafly Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leafly Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leafly Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
25.00 
0.00  
Notes

Leafly Holdings Hype Timeline

Leafly Holdings is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Leafly is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.25E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Leafly Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Leafly Holdings has accumulated 29.09 M in total debt. Leafly Holdings has a current ratio of 3.23, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Leafly Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Leafly Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Leafly Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Leafly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Leafly Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Leafly Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Leafly Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leafly Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Leafly Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leafly Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Leafly Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leafly Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leafly Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leafly Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Leafly Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leafly Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leafly Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leafly Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Leafly Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Leafly Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Leafly Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leafly Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leafly pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Leafly Holdings

The number of cover stories for Leafly Holdings depends on current market conditions and Leafly Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leafly Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leafly Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Leafly Holdings Short Properties

Leafly Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leafly Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leafly Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leafly Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leafly Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments15.3 M
Shares Float30.7 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Other Consideration for investing in Leafly Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Leafly Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Leafly Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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