Lincoln Equity Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| LFTOX Fund | 12.04 0.03 0.25% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lincoln Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln Equity Income from the perspective of Lincoln Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lincoln Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 12.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.19. Lincoln Equity after-hype prediction price | USD 12.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lincoln |
Lincoln Equity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lincoln Equity Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lincoln Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 12.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lincoln Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lincoln Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lincoln Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
Lincoln Equity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lincoln Equity's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lincoln Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.44 and 12.79, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lincoln Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lincoln Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7507 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.085 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0072 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.1877 |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln Equity Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lincoln Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Lincoln Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Lincoln Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lincoln Equity Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Lincoln Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.04 | 12.04 | 0.00 |
|
Lincoln Equity Hype Timeline
Lincoln Equity Income is now traded for 12.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Lincoln is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Equity is about 261.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.05. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.Lincoln Equity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock | (0.29) | 1 per month | 0.81 | (0.05) | 1.11 | (1.22) | 3.55 | |
| VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | 7.28 | 1 per month | 0.77 | (0.04) | 0.99 | (1.17) | 3.61 | |
| VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.51 | 1 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.11 | (1.23) | 3.56 | |
| VITSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.56 | 18 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.11 | (1.23) | 3.55 | |
| VSTSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | (0.05) | 1.11 | (1.22) | 3.55 | |
| VSMPX | Vanguard Total Stock | (5.37) | 1 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.11 | (1.22) | 3.55 | |
| VTIAX | Vanguard Total International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.08 | 1.28 | (1.21) | 4.10 | |
| VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | (0.09) | 16 per month | 0.79 | (0.04) | 1.06 | (1.17) | 3.61 | |
| VFFSX | Vanguard 500 Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | (0.05) | 0.99 | (1.17) | 3.61 | |
| VBTLX | Vanguard Total Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.21 | (0.31) | 0.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lincoln Equity
For every potential investor in Lincoln, whether a beginner or expert, Lincoln Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lincoln Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lincoln. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lincoln Equity's price trends.Lincoln Equity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lincoln Equity mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lincoln Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lincoln Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lincoln Equity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lincoln Equity mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lincoln Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lincoln Equity mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lincoln Equity Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.24 |
Lincoln Equity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lincoln Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lincoln Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lincoln mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4901 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7327 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6678 | |||
| Variance | 0.446 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7272 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5369 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lincoln Equity
The number of cover stories for Lincoln Equity depends on current market conditions and Lincoln Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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