Lions Gate Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LGF-B Stock  USD 7.15  0.07  0.99%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lions Gate Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 7.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17. Lions Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lions Gate stock prices and determine the direction of Lions Gate Entertainment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lions Gate's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Lions Gate's Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 7.02, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.44. . As of November 25, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 145.2 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (1.7 B).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Lions Gate Entertainment is based on a synthetically constructed Lions Gatedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lions Gate 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lions Gate Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 7.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lions Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lions Gate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lions Gate Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lions Gate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lions Gate's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lions Gate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.60 and 9.41, respectively. We have considered Lions Gate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.15
7.00
Expected Value
9.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lions Gate stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lions Gate stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.8953
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0159
MADMean absolute deviation0.1504
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0217
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1655
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lions Gate Entertainment 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lions Gate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lions Gate Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.687.089.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.568.9611.36
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.9010.8812.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lions Gate

For every potential investor in Lions, whether a beginner or expert, Lions Gate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lions Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lions. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lions Gate's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lions Gate Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lions Gate's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lions Gate's current price.

Lions Gate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lions Gate stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lions Gate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lions Gate stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lions Gate Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lions Gate Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lions Gate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lions Gate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lions stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Lions Stock

Lions Gate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lions Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lions with respect to the benefits of owning Lions Gate security.