Lazard Global Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LGI Fund  USD 18.23  0.07  0.39%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lazard Global Total on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.95. Lazard Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lazard Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Lazard Global's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lazard Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lazard Global Total, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lazard Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lazard Global Total from the perspective of Lazard Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lazard Global Total on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.95.

Lazard Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lazard Global to cross-verify your projections.

Lazard Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lazard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lazard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lazard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Lazard Global is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Lazard Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lazard Global Total on the next trading day is expected to be 18.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lazard Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lazard Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lazard Global Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lazard GlobalLazard Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lazard Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lazard Global's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lazard Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.52 and 18.87, respectively. We have considered Lazard Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.23
18.20
Expected Value
18.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lazard Global fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lazard Global fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5363
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0248
MADMean absolute deviation0.1179
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors6.955
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Lazard Global Total price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Lazard Global. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Lazard Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Global Total. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5518.2318.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7618.4419.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.8717.5318.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lazard Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lazard Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lazard Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lazard Global Total.

Lazard Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lazard Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lazard Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Lazard Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lazard Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lazard Global's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lazard Global's historical news coverage. Lazard Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.55 and 18.91, respectively. We have considered Lazard Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.23
18.23
After-hype Price
18.91
Upside
Lazard Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lazard Global Total is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lazard Global Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Lazard Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lazard Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lazard Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.68
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.23
18.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lazard Global Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Lazard Global Total is traded for 18.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lazard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lazard Global is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.23. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lazard Global Total last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lazard Global to cross-verify your projections.

Lazard Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lazard Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lazard Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Lazard Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lazard Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Lazard Global

For every potential investor in Lazard, whether a beginner or expert, Lazard Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lazard Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lazard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lazard Global's price trends.

Lazard Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lazard Global fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lazard Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lazard Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lazard Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lazard Global fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lazard Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lazard Global fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Lazard Global Total entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lazard Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lazard Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lazard Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lazard fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lazard Global

The number of cover stories for Lazard Global depends on current market conditions and Lazard Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lazard Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lazard Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Lazard Fund

Lazard Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lazard Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lazard with respect to the benefits of owning Lazard Global security.
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