Lianhua Supermarket Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LHUAF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31. Lianhua Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lianhua Supermarket's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Lianhua Supermarket's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lianhua Supermarket hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings from the perspective of Lianhua Supermarket response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31. Lianhua Supermarket after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0187 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lianhua |
Lianhua Supermarket Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lianhua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lianhua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lianhua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lianhua Supermarket Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lianhua Supermarket Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000042, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lianhua Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lianhua Supermarket's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lianhua Supermarket Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lianhua Supermarket | Lianhua Supermarket Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lianhua Supermarket Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lianhua Supermarket's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lianhua Supermarket's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 20.66, respectively. We have considered Lianhua Supermarket's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lianhua Supermarket pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lianhua Supermarket pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0432 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0051 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1756 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3093 |
Predictive Modules for Lianhua Supermarket
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lianhua Supermarket. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lianhua Supermarket After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lianhua Supermarket at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lianhua Supermarket or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lianhua Supermarket, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lianhua Supermarket Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lianhua Supermarket's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lianhua Supermarket's historical news coverage. Lianhua Supermarket's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 20.66, respectively. We have considered Lianhua Supermarket's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lianhua Supermarket is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lianhua Supermarket is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lianhua Supermarket Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lianhua Supermarket is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lianhua Supermarket backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lianhua Supermarket, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.37 | 20.64 | 0.06 | 0.31 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 3.32 |
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Lianhua Supermarket Hype Timeline
Lianhua Supermarket is now traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Lianhua is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0187 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 3.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.37%. The volatility of related hype on Lianhua Supermarket is about 9231.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.29. Lianhua Supermarket Holdings has accumulated 6.65 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lianhua Supermarket to cross-verify your projections.Lianhua Supermarket Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lianhua Supermarket's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lianhua Supermarket's future price movements. Getting to know how Lianhua Supermarket's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lianhua Supermarket may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRZBF | Transat AT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.04 | (2.11) | 27.93 | |
| ESHDF | Esprit Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PMTYF | Playmates Toys | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (12.20) | 68.65 | |
| TFRFF | Tefron | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RROTF | Roots | (2.20) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.21 | (0.41) | 11.69 | |
| NWRLY | New World Department | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EDEMY | eDreams ODIGEO SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CEBTF | Citychamp Watch Jewellery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DPNEY | Daphne International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VCCTF | Victoria plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.33 | (16.36) | 45.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lianhua Supermarket
For every potential investor in Lianhua, whether a beginner or expert, Lianhua Supermarket's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lianhua Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lianhua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lianhua Supermarket's price trends.Lianhua Supermarket Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lianhua Supermarket pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lianhua Supermarket could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lianhua Supermarket by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lianhua Supermarket Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lianhua Supermarket pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lianhua Supermarket shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lianhua Supermarket pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lianhua Supermarket Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0181 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0181 |
Lianhua Supermarket Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lianhua Supermarket's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lianhua Supermarket's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lianhua pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 20.16 | |||
| Variance | 406.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lianhua Supermarket
The number of cover stories for Lianhua Supermarket depends on current market conditions and Lianhua Supermarket's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lianhua Supermarket is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lianhua Supermarket's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Lianhua Pink Sheet
Lianhua Supermarket financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lianhua Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lianhua with respect to the benefits of owning Lianhua Supermarket security.