Lindblad Expeditions Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LI4 Stock | EUR 17.30 0.20 1.17% |
Lindblad Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Lindblad Expeditions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Lindblad Expeditions' stock price is roughly 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 20th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lindblad, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.496 | Wall Street Target Price 20.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.166 |
Using Lindblad Expeditions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings from the perspective of Lindblad Expeditions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.70. Lindblad Expeditions after-hype prediction price | EUR 17.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lindblad |
Lindblad Expeditions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lindblad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lindblad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lindblad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lindblad Expeditions Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 17.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lindblad Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lindblad Expeditions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lindblad Expeditions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lindblad Expeditions | Lindblad Expeditions Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lindblad Expeditions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lindblad Expeditions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lindblad Expeditions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.46 and 20.14, respectively. We have considered Lindblad Expeditions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lindblad Expeditions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lindblad Expeditions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3986 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.125 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.245 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.7 |
Predictive Modules for Lindblad Expeditions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lindblad Expeditions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lindblad Expeditions After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lindblad Expeditions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lindblad Expeditions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lindblad Expeditions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lindblad Expeditions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lindblad Expeditions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lindblad Expeditions' historical news coverage. Lindblad Expeditions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.35 and 20.07, respectively. We have considered Lindblad Expeditions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lindblad Expeditions is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lindblad Expeditions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lindblad Expeditions Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lindblad Expeditions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lindblad Expeditions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lindblad Expeditions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.92 | 2.84 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.30 | 17.21 | 0.52 |
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Lindblad Expeditions Hype Timeline
Lindblad Expeditions is now traded for 17.30on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Lindblad is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.92%. The volatility of related hype on Lindblad Expeditions is about 3724.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.23. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.56. Lindblad Expeditions had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lindblad Expeditions to cross-verify your projections.Lindblad Expeditions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lindblad Expeditions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lindblad Expeditions' future price movements. Getting to know how Lindblad Expeditions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lindblad Expeditions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AZU | EBRO FOODS | 0.24 | 1 per month | 0.75 | 0.04 | 1.37 | (1.19) | 3.65 | |
| 7SNU | Suntory Beverage Food | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.58 | (0.03) | 2.29 | (2.27) | 9.59 | |
| GTR | GOODYEAR T RUBBER | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.58 | 0.06 | 3.65 | (3.33) | 17.24 | |
| RYQ | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.10 | 6 per month | 3.36 | 0.09 | 5.80 | (6.31) | 25.30 | |
| TP3 | THRACE PLASTICS | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.17 | 0.03 | 1.76 | (0.76) | 3.37 | |
| EZM | Compagnie Plastic Omnium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.1 | 3.24 | (3.07) | 9.62 | |
| 6CF | Collins Foods Limited | (0.29) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.38 | (2.42) | 7.60 | |
| TF7A | Tyson Foods | (0.63) | 10 per month | 0.96 | 0.07 | 3.09 | (1.73) | 8.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lindblad Expeditions
For every potential investor in Lindblad, whether a beginner or expert, Lindblad Expeditions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lindblad Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lindblad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lindblad Expeditions' price trends.Lindblad Expeditions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lindblad Expeditions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lindblad Expeditions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lindblad Expeditions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lindblad Expeditions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lindblad Expeditions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lindblad Expeditions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lindblad Expeditions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lindblad Expeditions Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.2 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.53 |
Lindblad Expeditions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lindblad Expeditions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lindblad Expeditions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lindblad stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lindblad Expeditions
The number of cover stories for Lindblad Expeditions depends on current market conditions and Lindblad Expeditions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lindblad Expeditions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lindblad Expeditions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lindblad Expeditions to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.