Life360 Common Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LIF Stock   57.29  1.62  2.75%   
Life360 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Life360 Common's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Life360 Common's share price is approaching 38. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Life360 Common, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Life360 Common's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Life360 Common and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Life360 Common's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Life360 Common Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Life360 Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Life360 Common Stock from the perspective of Life360 Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Life360 Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 56.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.75.

Life360 Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 57.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Life360 Common to cross-verify your projections.

Life360 Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Life360 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Life360 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Life360 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Life360 Common - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Life360 Common prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Life360 Common price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Life360 Common Stock.

Life360 Common Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Life360 Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 56.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 14.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Life360 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Life360 Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Life360 Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Life360 Common  Life360 Common Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Life360 Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Life360 Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Life360 Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.07 and 61.49, respectively. We have considered Life360 Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
57.29
56.28
Expected Value
61.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Life360 Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Life360 Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3636
MADMean absolute deviation2.3178
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0335
SAESum of the absolute errors136.75
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Life360 Common observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Life360 Common Stock observations.

Predictive Modules for Life360 Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life360 Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0857.2962.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9148.1263.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
53.2061.6370.06
Details

Life360 Common After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Life360 Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Life360 Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Life360 Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Life360 Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Life360 Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Life360 Common's historical news coverage. Life360 Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.08 and 62.50, respectively. We have considered Life360 Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
57.29
57.29
After-hype Price
62.50
Upside
Life360 Common is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Life360 Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

Life360 Common Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Life360 Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Life360 Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Life360 Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.75 
5.21
 0.00  
  0.19 
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.29
57.29
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Life360 Common Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Life360 Common Stock is traded for 57.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.19. Life360 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Life360 Common is about 2075.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.10. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Life360 Common to cross-verify your projections.

Life360 Common Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Life360 Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Life360 Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Life360 Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Life360 Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVLTCommVault Systems(0.69)18 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.42 (3.37) 35.55 
SRADSportradar Group AG 0.16 9 per month 0.00 (0.31) 2.44 (4.19) 10.47 
MTCHMatch Group 0.39 11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.56 (1.84) 7.35 
APPFAppfolio(7.67)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.09 (3.90) 12.94 
LYFTLYFT Inc(0.26)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.73 (6.70) 14.46 
PCTYPaylocity Holdng 1.54 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.51 (4.46) 11.01 
NICENice Ltd ADR 0.58 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.22 (3.81) 18.80 
DSGXDescartes Systems Group(0.38)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.02 (3.74) 19.62 
DBXDropbox 0.05 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.53 (2.46) 15.22 
WIXWixCom 3.77 10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 5.78 (4.31) 27.47 

Other Forecasting Options for Life360 Common

For every potential investor in Life360, whether a beginner or expert, Life360 Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Life360 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Life360. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Life360 Common's price trends.

Life360 Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Life360 Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Life360 Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Life360 Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Life360 Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Life360 Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Life360 Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Life360 Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Life360 Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Life360 Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Life360 Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Life360 Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting life360 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Life360 Common

The number of cover stories for Life360 Common depends on current market conditions and Life360 Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Life360 Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Life360 Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Life360 Common Short Properties

Life360 Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when Life360 Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Life360 Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Life360 Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life360 Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.2 M
When determining whether Life360 Common Stock is a strong investment it is important to analyze Life360 Common's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Life360 Common's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Life360 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Life360 Common to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does Life360 have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Life360 Common. Expected growth trajectory for Life360 significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Life360 Common demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Life360 Common Stock's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Life360's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Life360 Common's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Life360 Common's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Life360 Common's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Life360 Common represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Life360 Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.