Linde Plc Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

LIN Stock  USD 456.97  1.97  0.43%   
Linde Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Linde Plc's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Linde Plc's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Linde Plc fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Linde Plc's stock price is about 65. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Linde, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Linde Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Linde plc Ordinary, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Linde Plc's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.27
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.2339
EPS Estimate Current Year
16.4227
EPS Estimate Next Year
17.8369
Wall Street Target Price
504.52
Using Linde Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Linde plc Ordinary from the perspective of Linde Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Linde Plc using Linde Plc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Linde using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Linde Plc's stock price.

Linde Plc Short Interest

An investor who is long Linde Plc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Linde Plc and may potentially protect profits, hedge Linde Plc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
452.1589
Short Percent
0.016
Short Ratio
2.85
Shares Short Prior Month
7.7 M
50 Day MA
425.0026

Linde Relative Strength Index

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linde plc Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 458.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 202.52.

Linde plc Ordinary Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Linde Plc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Linde. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Linde can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Linde plc Ordinary. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Linde Plc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Linde Plc.

Linde Plc Implied Volatility

    
  0.23  
Linde Plc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Linde plc Ordinary stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Linde Plc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Linde Plc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Linde Plc's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linde plc Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 458.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 202.52.

Linde Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 456.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Linde Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Linde contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Linde plc Ordinary will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0144% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Linde Plc trading at USD 456.97, that is roughly USD 0.0657 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Linde Plc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Linde plc Ordinary options at the current volatility level of 0.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Linde Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Linde Plc's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Linde Plc's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Linde Plc stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Linde Plc's open interest, investors have to compare it to Linde Plc's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Linde Plc is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Linde. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Linde Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Linde price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Linde using various technical indicators. When you analyze Linde charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Linde Plc works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Linde Plc Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linde plc Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 458.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.43, mean absolute percentage error of 18.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 202.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Linde Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Linde Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Linde Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Linde Plc  Linde Plc Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Linde Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Linde Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Linde Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 457.28 and 459.26, respectively. We have considered Linde Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
456.97
457.28
Downside
458.27
Expected Value
459.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Linde Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Linde Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6962
MADMean absolute deviation3.4326
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0081
SAESum of the absolute errors202.5212
When Linde plc Ordinary prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Linde plc Ordinary trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Linde Plc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Linde Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linde plc Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
455.97456.97457.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
411.27514.88515.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
422.54441.76460.99
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
459.11504.52560.02
Details

Linde Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Linde Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Linde Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Linde Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Linde Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Linde Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Linde Plc's historical news coverage. Linde Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 455.97 and 457.97, respectively. We have considered Linde Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
456.97
455.97
Downside
456.97
After-hype Price
457.97
Upside
Linde Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Linde plc Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.

Linde Plc Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Linde Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Linde Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Linde Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
0.99
  0.20 
  0.34 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
456.97
456.97
0.00 
79.20  
Notes

Linde Plc Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February Linde plc Ordinary is traded for 456.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.34. Linde is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 79.2%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Linde Plc is about 47.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 456.63. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.08. Linde plc Ordinary recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of December 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Linde Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Linde Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Linde Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Linde Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Linde Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Linde Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
APDAir Products and 0.24 10 per month 2.03  0.04  2.58 (2.40) 18.39 
SHWSherwin Williams Co 5.63 9 per month 1.17  0.03  2.76 (2.10) 8.50 
ECLEcolab Inc(0.07)8 per month 1.51 (0.02) 2.03 (2.27) 4.70 
SCCOSouthern Copper 5.39 9 per month 2.42  0.21  4.04 (4.16) 10.37 
SQMSociedad Quimica y(35.25)18 per month 2.04  0.28  6.23 (4.09) 13.35 
ESIElement Solutions 0.36 9 per month 1.73  0.06  3.96 (3.60) 10.60 
FULH B Fuller(0.31)10 per month 1.51 (0.02) 3.48 (2.38) 8.23 
SXTSensient Technologies(1.05)16 per month 1.76 (0.02) 2.93 (2.57) 9.55 
HWKNHawkins 4.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.29 (5.80) 14.80 
AVNTAvient Corp(0.01)9 per month 1.43  0.07  3.41 (2.45) 8.87 

Other Forecasting Options for Linde Plc

For every potential investor in Linde, whether a beginner or expert, Linde Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Linde Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Linde. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Linde Plc's price trends.

Linde Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Linde Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Linde Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Linde Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Linde Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Linde Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Linde Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Linde Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Linde plc Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Linde Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Linde Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Linde Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting linde stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Linde Plc

The number of cover stories for Linde Plc depends on current market conditions and Linde Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Linde Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Linde Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Linde Plc Short Properties

Linde Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Linde Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Linde plc Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Linde Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Linde Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding482.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.8 B
When determining whether Linde plc Ordinary offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Linde Plc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Linde Plc Ordinary Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Linde Plc Ordinary Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Linde Plc to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Will Industrial Gases sector continue expanding? Could Linde diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Linde Plc. Expected growth trajectory for Linde significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Linde Plc data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.27
Dividend Share
5.89
Earnings Share
14.94
Revenue Per Share
70.993
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
Linde plc Ordinary's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Linde's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Linde Plc's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Linde Plc's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Linde Plc's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Linde Plc represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Linde Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.