Lineage Common Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LINE Stock   36.19  0.22  0.60%   
Lineage Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lineage Common stock prices and determine the direction of Lineage Common Stock's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lineage Common's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lineage Common's share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lineage Common, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lineage Common's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lineage Common and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lineage Common's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lineage Common Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lineage Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lineage Common Stock from the perspective of Lineage Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lineage Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 36.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.11.

Lineage Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lineage Common to cross-verify your projections.

Lineage Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lineage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lineage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lineage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Lineage Common works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Lineage Common Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lineage Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 36.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lineage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lineage Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lineage Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lineage Common  Lineage Common Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Lineage Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lineage Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lineage Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.02 and 38.42, respectively. We have considered Lineage Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.19
36.22
Expected Value
38.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lineage Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lineage Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0724
MADMean absolute deviation0.6352
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors38.1141
When Lineage Common Stock prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Lineage Common Stock trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Lineage Common observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lineage Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lineage Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.9936.1938.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7435.9438.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.6835.5937.49
Details

Lineage Common After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lineage Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lineage Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lineage Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lineage Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lineage Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lineage Common's historical news coverage. Lineage Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.99 and 38.39, respectively. We have considered Lineage Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.19
36.19
After-hype Price
38.39
Upside
Lineage Common is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lineage Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lineage Common Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lineage Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lineage Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lineage Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.20
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.19
36.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lineage Common Hype Timeline

Lineage Common Stock is now traded for 36.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Lineage is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lineage Common is about 1913.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.18. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lineage Common Stock has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 128.88. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.62. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lineage Common to cross-verify your projections.

Lineage Common Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lineage Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lineage Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Lineage Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lineage Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Lineage Common

For every potential investor in Lineage, whether a beginner or expert, Lineage Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lineage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lineage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lineage Common's price trends.

Lineage Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lineage Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lineage Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lineage Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lineage Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lineage Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lineage Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lineage Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lineage Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lineage Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lineage Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lineage Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lineage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lineage Common

The number of cover stories for Lineage Common depends on current market conditions and Lineage Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lineage Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lineage Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lineage Common Short Properties

Lineage Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lineage Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lineage Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lineage Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lineage Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding191 M
Cash And Short Term Investments173 M
When determining whether Lineage Common Stock is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lineage Common's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lineage Common's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lineage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lineage Common to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lineage Common. If investors know Lineage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lineage Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lineage Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lineage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lineage Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lineage Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lineage Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lineage Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lineage Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lineage Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lineage Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.