Link Net Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LINK Stock  IDR 1,175  20.00  1.67%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Link Net Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,052 with a mean absolute deviation of 132.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,086. Link Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Link Net price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Link Net Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Link Net Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,052 with a mean absolute deviation of 132.56, mean absolute percentage error of 27,416, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8,086.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Link Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Link Net's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Link Net Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Link NetLink Net Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Link Net Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Link Net's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Link Net's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,048 and 1,057, respectively. We have considered Link Net's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,175
1,052
Expected Value
1,057
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Link Net stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Link Net stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.3294
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation132.5609
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0842
SAESum of the absolute errors8086.2179
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Link Net Tbk historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Link Net

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Link Net Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1711,1751,179
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1241,1281,292
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,1511,2271,303
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Link Net

For every potential investor in Link, whether a beginner or expert, Link Net's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Link Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Link. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Link Net's price trends.

Link Net Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Link Net stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Link Net could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Link Net by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Link Net Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Link Net's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Link Net's current price.

Link Net Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Link Net stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Link Net shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Link Net stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Link Net Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Link Net Risk Indicators

The analysis of Link Net's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Link Net's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting link stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Link Stock

Link Net financial ratios help investors to determine whether Link Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Link with respect to the benefits of owning Link Net security.