Liquid Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

LIQDQ Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Liquid Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Liquid Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Liquid Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liquid Holdings Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Liquid Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liquid Holdings Group from the perspective of Liquid Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquid Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Liquid Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liquid Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Liquid Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Liquid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liquid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liquid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Liquid Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Liquid Holdings Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Liquid Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Liquid Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liquid Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liquid Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liquid Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Liquid Holdings  Liquid Holdings Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Liquid Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liquid Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liquid Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Liquid Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liquid Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liquid Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Liquid Holdings Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Liquid Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Liquid Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liquid Holdings Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liquid Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Liquid Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Liquid Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liquid Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Liquid Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Liquid Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Liquid Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liquid Holdings' historical news coverage. Liquid Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Liquid Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Liquid Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liquid Holdings Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Liquid Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liquid Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liquid Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liquid Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Liquid Holdings Hype Timeline

Liquid Holdings Group is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Liquid is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Liquid Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. Liquid Holdings Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Liquid Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Liquid Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Liquid Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liquid Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Liquid Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liquid Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GOLQGoLogiq 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  21,428 
FRLIFrelii Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NXTPNextplay Technologies(0.91)23 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WDDDWorlds Inc 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  150.00 
LFINLongFin Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RKFLRocketFuel Blockchain 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IBSSIntegrated Business Systems 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRXXForecross Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ANVVAnvia Holdings 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGLOHash Labs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Liquid Holdings

For every potential investor in Liquid, whether a beginner or expert, Liquid Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liquid Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liquid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liquid Holdings' price trends.

Liquid Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liquid Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liquid Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liquid Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liquid Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liquid Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liquid Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liquid Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Liquid Holdings Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Liquid Holdings

The number of cover stories for Liquid Holdings depends on current market conditions and Liquid Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liquid Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liquid Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Liquid Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Liquid Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Liquid Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liquid Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Liquid Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liquid Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liquid Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liquid Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.