LivaNova PLC Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LIVN Stock | USD 65.03 0.40 0.61% |
LivaNova Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although LivaNova PLC's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of LivaNova PLC's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of LivaNova PLC fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of LivaNova PLC's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9041 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8642 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.1321 | Wall Street Target Price 73 |
Using LivaNova PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LivaNova PLC from the perspective of LivaNova PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LivaNova PLC using LivaNova PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LivaNova using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LivaNova PLC's stock price.
LivaNova PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long LivaNova PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about LivaNova PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge LivaNova PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 51.8779 | Short Percent 0.039 | Short Ratio 3.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 62.6782 |
LivaNova Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LivaNova PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 65.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52.LivaNova PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LivaNova PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LivaNova. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LivaNova can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LivaNova PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LivaNova PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LivaNova PLC.
LivaNova PLC Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
LivaNova PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LivaNova PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LivaNova PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LivaNova PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when LivaNova PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LivaNova PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 65.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52. LivaNova PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 66.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivaNova PLC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LivaNova contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LivaNova PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With LivaNova PLC trading at USD 65.03, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LivaNova PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring LivaNova PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 LivaNova Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LivaNova PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LivaNova PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LivaNova PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LivaNova PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to LivaNova PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LivaNova PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LivaNova. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LivaNova PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LivaNova price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LivaNova using various technical indicators. When you analyze LivaNova charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LivaNova PLC Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LivaNova PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 65.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LivaNova Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LivaNova PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LivaNova PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LivaNova PLC | LivaNova PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LivaNova PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LivaNova PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LivaNova PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.81 and 67.25, respectively. We have considered LivaNova PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LivaNova PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LivaNova PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7961 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.243 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.892 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.52 |
Predictive Modules for LivaNova PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LivaNova PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LivaNova PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LivaNova PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LivaNova PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LivaNova PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LivaNova PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LivaNova PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LivaNova PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LivaNova PLC's historical news coverage. LivaNova PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.07 and 68.53, respectively. We have considered LivaNova PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LivaNova PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LivaNova PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
LivaNova PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LivaNova PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LivaNova PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LivaNova PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.22 | 0.34 | 0.15 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.03 | 66.30 | 0.53 |
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LivaNova PLC Hype Timeline
LivaNova PLC is now traded for 65.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. LivaNova is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 66.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on LivaNova PLC is about 659.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.18. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.25 B. Net Income was 63.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 936.25 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivaNova PLC to cross-verify your projections.LivaNova PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LivaNova PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LivaNova PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how LivaNova PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LivaNova PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IINN | Inspira Technologies Oxy | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.86 | (6.96) | 24.08 | |
| PTHL | Pheton Holdings Ltd | 0.05 | 6 per month | 6.77 | 0.02 | 6.56 | (9.84) | 136.77 | |
| TNON | Tenon Medical | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.61 | (7.21) | 17.02 | |
| BMRA | Biomerica | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.12 | (5.21) | 18.44 | |
| HSCS | Heart Test Laboratories | (0.01) | 6 per month | 4.93 | 0.03 | 11.07 | (6.48) | 26.18 | |
| SSKN | STRATA Skin Sciences | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.35 | (7.03) | 18.68 | |
| APVO | Aptevo Therapeutics | 0.52 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 7.81 | (10.34) | 45.42 | |
| ADVB | Advanced Biomed Common | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 10.00 | (10.81) | 39.70 | |
| BNR | Burning Rock Biotech | 2.54 | 7 per month | 6.82 | 0.19 | 18.91 | (13.63) | 50.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for LivaNova PLC
For every potential investor in LivaNova, whether a beginner or expert, LivaNova PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LivaNova Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LivaNova. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LivaNova PLC's price trends.LivaNova PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LivaNova PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LivaNova PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LivaNova PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LivaNova PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LivaNova PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LivaNova PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LivaNova PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LivaNova PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31060.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 65.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 65.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.40) |
LivaNova PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of LivaNova PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LivaNova PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting livanova stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Variance | 5.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LivaNova PLC
The number of cover stories for LivaNova PLC depends on current market conditions and LivaNova PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LivaNova PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LivaNova PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LivaNova PLC Short Properties
LivaNova PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when LivaNova PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LivaNova PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LivaNova PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LivaNova PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 428.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivaNova PLC to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in LivaNova Stock, please use our How to Invest in LivaNova PLC guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could LivaNova diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LivaNova PLC. Expected growth trajectory for LivaNova significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every LivaNova PLC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share (3.98) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 | Return On Assets |
Understanding LivaNova PLC requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects LivaNova's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what LivaNova PLC's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push LivaNova PLC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that LivaNova PLC's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LivaNova PLC represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, LivaNova PLC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.